光滑分布函数分位数估计的注记(英)

文中通过光滑经验分布函数构造了分位数估计，建立该估计的Bahadu－强弱表示定理，并由Bahadur表示定理证明了该分估计估的重对数律和渐近正态性等深刻结果．     

BAHADUR REPRESENTATION OF THEKERNEL QUANTILE ESTIMATOR UNDER TRUNCATED AND CENSORED DATA

1.IntroductionTheestimationofpopulationquaillesisofgrestillterestwhenone.isnotpreparedtoassumeaparametricformfortheunderlyingdistribution.Inaddition,quaillesoftenariseasthensturalthingtoestimatewhentheunderlyingdistributionisskewed.LetXIIXZ,')Xubei...     

纵向数据非参数混合效应模型的一个局部不变估计

非参数核回归方法近年来已被用于纵向数据的分析(Lin和Carroll,2000)．一个颇具争议性的问题是在非参数核回归中是否需要考虑纵向数据间的相关性．Lin和Carroll (2000)证明了基于独立性(即忽略相关性)的核估计在一类核GEE估计量中是(渐近)最有效的．基于混合效应模型方法作者提出了一个不同的核估计类,它自然而有效地结合了纵向数据的相关结构．估计量达到了与Lin和Carroll的估计量相同的渐近有效性,且在有限样本情形下表现更好．由此方法可以很容易地获得对于总体和个体的非参数曲线估计．所提出的估计量具有较好的统计性质,且实施方便,从而对实际工作者具有较大的吸引力．     

Probability density estimation with surrogate data and validation sample

The probability density estimation problem with surrogate data and validation sample is considered. A regression calibration kernel density estimator is defined to incorporate the information contained in both surrogate variates and validation sample. Also, we define two weighted estimators which have less asymptotic variances but have bigger biases than the regression calibration kernel density estimator. All the proposed estimators are proved to be asymptotically normal. And the asymptotic representations for the mean squared error and mean integrated square error of the proposed estimators are established, respectively. A simulation study is conducted to compare the finite sample behaviors of the proposed estimators.     

有结构变化的半参数回归模型

结合半参数回归模型和含未知变点的结构变化模型提出 一个新的模型\,---\,有结构变化的半参数回归模型, 给出了新模型的有关参数$\beta,\beta^\ast,\gamma,k$的加权最小二乘估计和$f(t)$的核估计, 证明了参数\, $\beta,\beta^\ast,\gamma$的估计的$\sqrt{n}$\,-相合性, 强相合性, 讨论了模型的检验等问题, 并进一步通过随机模拟验证了新模型的优越性.     

随机删失下概率密度核估计的光滑Bootstrap逼近

本文研究随机删失概率密度估计的光ｂｏｏｔｓｔｒａｐ逼近。给出了光滑ｂｏｏｔｓｔｒａｐ逼近成立的充分条件，并证明了概率密度的光滑ｂｏｏｔｓｔｒａｐ估计方差几乎处处收敛到概率密度核估计的渐近方差。     

左截断右删失下核密度估计的L1距离的界

本文在左截断右删失数据下获得了概论密度的核估计的L1距离的一个上界．     

Slepian半小波基函数及其在无线通讯信号概率密度估计中的应用

文[20]引进了Slepian半小波基函数并讨论了这组基在概率度估计核方法中的应用[21]，Slepian半小波基函数具有极好的性质．包括多重尺度结构和局部非负性．更值得指出的是．与Gauss核不同，Slepian函数是与无线信号类似的具有平滑谱的有限带宽函数．在所有相同带宽的函数中．Slepian函数在特定的时同区域上具有最大能量．在逼近具有平滑谱的无线信号中．这些特性使得Slepian半小波核与Gauss核以及其他小波基相比具有潜在的优越性．美中不足的是．和其他核密度估计一样．Slepian核密度估计的算法设计具有一定的挑战性．幸运的是．我们注意到Slepian核可以被表示成卷积形式．这一观察具有重要的计算意义．本文主要讨论Slephn核密度估计的应用及其计算．我们首先设计了基于离散卷积的算法并讨论了这一算法的有效性．在文章的结尾，以Slepian核密度估计作为具有平滑谱的远程信号的衰减包络的模型为例．我们考查了Slepian核及其算法的性质．为了尝试数学理论与应用的紧密联系，本文的数值试验不仅采用了模拟数据而且包括了从无线通讯用户的硬件直接采集的实际数据．     

方向数据密度核估计的对数律

设X为取值于k维单位球面上的单位随机向量,具有概率密度函数f(x),X_1,…,X_n为X的n个i.i.d.的观察,讨论f(x)具有形式的核估计,其中K为定义于[0,+∞]上的非负核函数,ω_k为Ω_k上的Lebesque测度,本文建立了fn(x)的对数律,并给出了fn(x)的一致强相合速度。     

SOBOLEV INEQUALITY ON RIEMANNIAN MANIFOLDS

Let M be an n dimensional complete Riemannian manifold satisfying the doubling volume property and an on-diagonal heat kernel estimate. The necessary-sufficient condition for the Sobolev inequality ||f||q ≤Cn,,v,p,q(||(?)f||p ||f||p) (2 ≤p < q < ∞) is given.     

A maximum a posteriori estimator for trajectories of diffusion processes

Let x _t be a diffusion process observed via a noisy sensor, whose output is y_t We consider the problem of evaluating the maximum a posteriori trajectory {x_s0≤ s ≤ t Based on results of Stratonovich [1] and Ikeda-Watanabe [2], we show that this estimator is given by the solution of an appropriate variational problem which is a slight modification of the "minimum energy" estimator. We compare our results to the non-linear filtering theory and show that for problems which possess a finite dimensional solution, our approach yields also explicit filters. For linear diffusions observed via linear sensors, these filters are identical to the Kalman-filter     

Local linear regression for functional predictor and scalar response

The aim of this work is to introduce a new nonparametric regression technique in the context of functional covariate and scalar response. We propose a local linear regression estimator and study its asymptotic behaviour. Its finite-sample performance is compared with a Nadayara-Watson type kernel regression estimator and with the linear regression estimator via a Monte Carlo study and the analysis of two real data sets. In all the scenarios considered, the local linear regression estimator performs better than the kernel one, in the sense that the mean squared prediction error is lower.     

关于调和数的一个结论

设n是大于1的正常数,并且设n=pα11p2α2…ptαt,其中pi为素数,i=1,2,…,t,ω(n)表示n的不同素因子的个数,即ω(n)=t.若n的所有因子的倒数和为整数,即0≤∑ij≤αjj=1,2,…,t1p1i1pi22…ptit为整数,称n是调和数.证明了和调和数相关的一个结论.     

α－混合过程条件密度的估计及其性质

本文在{Xr,t∈N）是一个严平稳过程的假设下,用核估计的方法对未来状态XN＋T的条件密度进行估计．在假设{Xt,t∈N）是α-混合过程的情况下,讨论了过程有限维密度核估计的期望与方差,以及过程条件密度核估计的偏及均方误差．在一定条件下,证明了估计的弱收敛性．     

连续时间下非参数回归模型的误差密度估计的渐近均方误差

本文研究了连续时间下非参数回归的误差官度估计的收敛速度，给出了一定条件下误差密度的估计量^fT(x)的均方收敛速度，详细说明了以下重要结果：E[^fT(x)-f(x)]^2＝O(T^-1/4)其中f(x)表示误差过程｛et,t≥0｝的未知密度。     

α-混合序列下期望损失ES的两步核估计

期望损失(Expected Shortfall,ES)是当今最流行的金融资产风险管理的工具之一,是一个理想的一致性风险度量.本文在α-混合序列具有幂衰减混合系数条件下,用两步核估计估算风险度量ES的值,第一步是在险价值(Value at Risk,VaR)的核估计,第二步是ES的核估计.得到ES的核估计量的Bahadur表示,以及均方误差和渐近正态性的收敛速度.     

Principes de déviations modérées pour des modèles autorégressifs d'ordre p

We establish Moderate deviations principles (MDP) for some stable autoregressive models of order p: first for continuous unbounded additive functionnals of this process, second for the estimation error of the regression function (least-squares estimator in the stable linear case, kernel estimator in the Lipschitz non-linear case).     

A KERNEL ESTIMATOR OF A DENSITY FUNCTION IN MULTIVARIATE CASE FROM RANDOMLY CENSORED DATA

ＡＫＥＲＮＥＬＥＳＴＩＭＡＴＯＲＯＦＡＤＥＮＳＩＴＹＦＵＮＣＴＩＯＮＩＮＭＵＬＴＩＶＡＲＩＡＴＥＣＡＳＥＦＲＯＭＲＡＮＤＯＭＬＹＣＥＮＳＯＲＥＤＤＡＴＡ￥ＺｈｏｕＹｏｎｇ（周勇）（ＰｒｏｂａｂｉｌｉｔｙｌａｂｏｒａｔｏｒｙｉｎＩｎｓｔ．ｏｆＡｐｐｌ．...     

Hazard function estimation with cause-of-death data missing at random

Hazard function estimation is an important part of survival analysis. Interest often centers on estimating the hazard function associated with a particular cause of death. We propose three nonparametric kernel estimators for the hazard function, all of which are appropriate when death times are subject to random censorship and censoring indicators can be missing at random. Specifically, we present a regression surrogate estimator, an imputation estimator, and an inverse probability weighted estimator. All three estimators are uniformly strongly consistent and asymptotically normal. We derive asymptotic representations of the mean squared error and the mean integrated squared error for these estimators and we discuss a data-driven bandwidth selection method. A simulation study, conducted to assess finite sample behavior, demonstrates that the proposed hazard estimators perform relatively well. We illustrate our methods with an analysis of some vascular disease data.     

Comparative Analysis of Cubic Spline and Kernel Estimation of a Probit Function

The least-squares cubic spline and the kernel estimators produce comparable mean squared errors, although the kernel produces smaller mean squared errors when the variable increases away from 0. Mean squared error increases with an increase in the number of knots (for the cubic spline) or reduced band width (for the kernel estimator). The cubic spline produces smaller mean squared errors when all observations are made at knots than when they are spaced out between knots. Irrespective of the exact form of the probit function g(x), the cubic spline estimator is asymptotically unbiased, while the kernel estimator only converges to g(x) under certain conditions. Moreover, the cubic spline is a smooth function, which is twice differentiable on the interval [0,1].