Tests of symmetry for bivariate copulas

Tests are proposed for the hypothesis that the underlying copula of a continuous random pair is symmetric. The procedures are based on Cramér–von Mises and Kolmogorov–Smirnov functionals of a rank-based empirical process whose large-sample behaviour is obtained. The asymptotic validity of a re-sampling method to compute P values is also established. The technical arguments supporting the use of a Chi-squared test due to Jasson are also presented. A power study suggests that the proposed tests are more powerful than Jasson’s procedure under many scenarios of copula asymmetry. The methods are illustrated on a nutrient data set.     

Nonparametric evaluation of the first passage time of degradation processes

This paper discusses a nonparametric method to approximate the first passage time (FPT) distribution of the degradation processes incorporating random effects if the process type is unknown. The FPT of a degradation process is unnecessarily observed since its density function can be approximated by inverting the empirical Laplace transform using the empirical saddlepoint method. The empirical Laplace transform is composed of the measured increments of the degradation processes. To evaluate the performance of the proposed method, the approximated FPT is compared with the theoretical FPT assuming a true underlying process. The nonparametric method discussed in this paper is shown to possess the comparatively small relative errors in the simulation study and performs well to capture the heterogeneity in the practical data analysis. To justify the fitting results, the goodness‐of‐fit tests including Kolmogorov‐Smirnov test and Cramér‐von Mises test are conducted, and subsequently, a bootstrap confidence interval is constructed in terms of the 90th percentile of the FPT distribution.     

Tests of independence among continuous random vectors based on Cramér–von Mises functionals of the empirical copula process

A decomposition of the independence empirical copula process into a finite number of asymptotically independent sub-processes was studied by Deheuvels. Starting from this decomposition, Genest and Rémillard recently investigated tests of independence among random variables based on Cramér–von Mises statistics derived from the sub-processes. A generalization of Deheuvels’ decomposition to the case where independence is to be tested among continuous random vectors is presented. The asymptotic behavior of the resulting collection of Cramér–von Mises statistics is derived. It is shown that they are not distribution-free. One way of carrying out the resulting tests of independence then involves using the bootstrap or the permutation methodology. The former is shown to behave consistently, while the latter is employed in practice. Finally, simulations are used to study the finite-sample behavior of the tests.     

PP multivariate random weighting method

According to the Projection Pursuit (PP) method and the random weighting method, we propose a PP random weighting method, and set up the asymptotic distribution theory and strong limit theorem of PP random weighting empirical process. Applying this method, we obtain two kinds of goodness-of-fit test for a multivariate distribution function, i.e., we get the random weighting approximations of PP Kolmogorov Smirnov statistics (PPKS) and PP Smirnov Cramér Von Mises statistics (PPSC), we prove that the asymptotic distribution of PPKS and PPSC are the same as those of their respective random weighting approximations.Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China.     

On the Cramér–von Mises test with parametric hypothesis for poisson processes

The problem of the goodness of-fit testing for inhomogeneous Poisson process with parametric basic hypothesis is considered. A test statistic of the Cramér–von Mises type with parameter replaced by the maximum likelihood estimator is proposed and its asymptotic behavior is studied. It is shown that in the case of shift parameter, the limit distribution of the test statistics (under hypothesis) does not depend on the true value of this parameter.     

Goodness-of-fit test for switching diffusion

We consider two Cramér–von Mises goodness-of-fit tests for hypotheses that the observed diffusion process has sign-type trend coefficient based on empirical distribution function and empirical density function. It is shown that the limit distributions of the proposed tests statistics are defined by the integral type functionals of continuous Gaussian processes. We study the behavior of these statistics under the alternative hypothesis and we prove that the tests are consistent. We provide the Karhunen-Loève expansion on \mathbbR{\mathbb{R}} of the corresponding limiting processes and we show that the eigenfunctions in these expansions have expressions in term of Bessel functions.     

A test for independence of two stationary infinite order autoregressive processes

This paper considers the independence test for two stationary infinite order autoregressive processes. For a test, we follow the empirical process method and construct the Cramér-von Mises type test statistics based on the least squares residuals. It is shown that the proposed test statistics behave asymptotically the same as those based on true errors. Simulation results are provided for illustration.     

On the goodness-of-fit testing for a switching diffusion process

We study the asymptotic behavior of the Cramér–von Mises type statistic in the goodness-of-fit hypotheses testing problem for ergodic diffusion processes. The basic (simple) hypothesis is defined by the stochastic differential equation with sign-type trend coefficient and known diffusion coefficient. It is shown that the limit distribution of the proposed test statistic (under hypothesis) is defined by the integral type functional of continuous Gaussian process. We provide the Karhunen–Loève expansion of the corresponding limiting process and show that the eigenfunctions in this expansion are expressed in terms of Bessel functions. This representation for the limit statistic allows us to approximate the threshold.     

Testing the equality of linear single-index models

Comparison of nonparametric regression models has been extensively discussed in the literature for the one-dimensional covariate case. The comparison problem largely remains open for completely nonparametric models with multi-dimensional covariates. We address this issue under the assumption that models are single-index models (SIMs). We propose a test for checking the equality of the mean functions of two (or more) SIM’s. The asymptotic normality of the test statistic is established and an empirical study is conducted to evaluate the finite-sample performance of the proposed procedure.     

Nonparametric tests for multiple regression under progressive censoring

For continuous observations from time-sequential studies, suitable Cramér-von Mises and Kolmogorov-Smirnov types of (nonparametric) statistics (based on linear rank statistics) for testing hypotheses on some multiple-regression models are proposed and studied. The asymptotic theory of these tests is provided for both the null and (local) alternative hypotheses situations and is based on the weak convergence of suitable rank order processes (on the D[0, 1] space) to certain functions of Brownian motions. Bahadur efficiency results are also presented. Empirical values of the percentile points of the null distributions of the proposed test statistics, obtained through simulation studies, are also provided.     

Tests of serial independence for continuous multivariate time series based on a Möbius decomposition of the independence empirical copula process

Genest and Rémillard have recently studied tests of randomness based on a decomposition of the serial independence empirical copula process into a finite number of asymptotically independent sub-processes. A generalization of this decomposition that can be used to test serial independence in the continuous multivariate time series framework is investigated. The weak limits of the Cramér–von Mises statistics derived from the various processes under consideration are determined. As these statistics are not distribution-free, the consistency of the bootstrap methodology is investigated. Extensive simulations are used to study the finite-sample behavior of the tests for continuous time series of dimension one to three, and comparisons with the portmanteau test are provided, as well as, in the one-dimensional case, with the ranked-based version of the Brock, Dechert, and Scheinkman test. Finally, the studied tests are applied to a real trivariate financial time series.     

Some test statistics based on the martingale term of the empirical distribution function

Summary It is proved that the martingale term of the empirical distribution function converges weakly to a Gaussian process inD[0, 1]. Some statistics for goodness-of-fit tests based on the martingale term of the empirical distribution function are proposed. Asymptotic distributions of these statistics under the null hypothesis are given. The approximate Bahadur efficiencies of the statistics to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic and to the Cramér-von Mises statistic are also calculated. The Institute of Statistical Mathematics     

On goodness-of-fit and the bootstrap

The empirical process, where unknown parameters of the underlying distribution function are estimated by bootstrap methods, is considered. It is approximated by a sequence of Gaussian process. In the maximum likelihood estimation case it converges to a Brownian Bridge. The asymptotic distribution of Cramér-von Mises, Anderson-Darling and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test statistics are derived.     

Relative efficiencies of goodness of fit procedures for assessing univariate normality

Summary Efficiency properties of the Cramér-von Mises, Anderson-Darling, Watson, and DeWet-Venter statistics for assessing normality are investigated. For these statistics, the approximate slopes are determined, and the equivalence of ratios of limiting approximate slopes to limiting Pitman efficiencies is established. From relative efficiency comparisons, the Cramér-von Mises and Watson statistics perform rather poorly; choice between the Anderson-Darling and DeWet-Venter statistics should be made on the basis of anticipated alternatives.     

Average projection type weighted Cramér- von Mises statistics for testing some distributions

This paper addresses the problem of testing goodness-of-fit for several important multivariate distributions: (I) Uniform distribution on p-dimensional unit sphere; (II) multivariate standard normal distribution; and (III) multivariate normal distribution with unknown mean vector and covariance matrix. The average projection type weighted Cramér-von Mises test statistic as well as estimated and weighted Cramér-von Mises statistics for testing distributions (I), (II) and (III) are constructed via integrating projection direction on the unit sphere, and the asymptotic distributions and the expansions of those test statistics under the null hypothesis are also obtained. Furthermore, the approach of this paper can be applied to testing goodness-of-fit for elliptically contoured distributions.     

A Cramér-von Mises test for symmetry of the error distribution in asymptotically stationary stochastic models

This paper has to do with a Cramér-von Mises test for symmetry of the error distribution in a class of absolutely regular and non-necessarily stationary heteroscedastic models. The test statistic is based on the empirical characteristic function. Its convergence, as well as that of the residual-based empirical distribution function are established. From these results, the null cumulative distribution function of the test statistic is approximated. A simulation experiment shows that the test performs well on the examples tested.     

On asymptotically distribution free tests with parametric hypothesis for ergodic diffusion processes

We consider the problem of the construction of the asymptotically distribution free test by the observations of ergodic diffusion process. It is supposed that under the basic hypothesis the trend coefficient depends on a finite-dimensional parameter and we study the Cramér-von Mises type statistics. The underlying statistics depends on the deviation of the local time estimator from the invariant density with parameter replaced by the maximum likelihood estimator. We propose a linear transformation which yields the convergence of the test statistics to an integral of the Wiener process. Therefore the test based on this statistics is asymptotically distribution free.     

A Nonparametric Test for the Equivalence of Populations Based on a Measure of Proximity of Samples

We propose a new measure of proximity of samples based on confidence limits for the bulk of a population constructed using order statistics. For this measure of proximity, we compute approximate confidence limits corresponding to a given significance level in the cases where the null hypothesis on the equality of hypothetical distribution functions may or may not be true. We compare this measure of proximity with the Kolmogorov–Smirnov and Wilcoxon statistics for samples from various populations. On the basis of the proposed measure of proximity, we construct a statistical test for testing the hypothesis on the equality of hypothetical distribution functions.     

Khmaladze transformation of integrated variance processes with applications to goodness-of-fit testing

In the common nonparametric regression model the problem of testing for a specific parametric form of the variance function is considered. Recently Dette and Hetzler [8] proposed a test statistic which is based on an empirical process of pseudo residuals. The process converges weakly to a Gaussian process with a complicated covariance kernel depending on the data generating process. In the present paper we consider a standardized version of this process and propose an application of the Khmaladze transformation to obtain asymptotically distribution-free tests for the corresponding Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramér-von Mises functionals. The finite-sample properties of the proposed tests are investigated by means of a simulation study.      

Correcting statistical models via empirical distribution functions

We consider the two-sample homogeneity problem where the information contained in two samples is used to test the equality of the underlying distributions. In cases where one sample is simulated by a procedure modelling the data generating process of another observed sample, a mere rejection of the null hypothesis is unsatisfactory. Instead, the data analyst would like to know how the simulation can be improved. Based on the popular Kolmogorov–Smirnov test and a general mixture model, we propose an algorithm that determines an appropriate correction distribution function. Complementing the simulation sample by a given proportion of observations sampled from this distribution reduces the Kolmogorov–Smirnov distance between the modified and the observed sample. Therefore, the correction distribution indicates possible improvements to the current simulation process. We prove our algorithm to run in linear time when applied to sorted samples. We further illustrate its intuitive results on simulated as well as on real data sets from astrophysics and bioinformatics.