带交易费用的无限期资产市场预期均衡的存在性

本文通过一个简单的模型证明了带交易费用的无限期资产经济预期均衡存在性，所用条件与已有文献相比更加简明     

具有偿付约束的衍生证券市场均衡存在性

本文通过一个简单的模型,证明了具有偿付约束的衍生证券市场均衡的存在性,由此解释了衍生证券市场的起因和衍生证券交易所的建立过程.这一结论很好地解释了市场摩擦对均衡存在性的影响,与无摩擦时均衡未必存在在形成了鲜明的对照.     

重复造林情况下最优伐木时间的经济决策模型

本文根据林木生长的特点及投资理论 ,建立了重复造林条件情况下最优伐木时间的经济决策模型 ,模型分析表明 ,一期造林情况下最优伐木时间迟于无限期重复造林情况下最优伐木时间     

住房抵押贷款的比例提前偿付模型

住房抵押贷款证券化定价的难点之一 ,就是由于提前偿付行为的存在 ,使得未来现金的流量难以确定。本文介绍了比例模型在提前偿付中的运用 ,同时提出了运用威布尔分布比例模型来建立提前偿付模型的观点 ,并得到了比较好的拟合结果     

政府花费改变对经济影响的理论分析

本文采用无限期内生时间偏好率模型,研究了政府花费对经济的影响.指出长期的政府花费增加可以使资本存量水平上升,消费水平下降和债券持有量上升;同时,短期分析表明政府花费增加可以减少初始投资率,增加政府债务率水平;但短期的政府花费增加同样导致资本存量水平上升,消费水平下降和债务水平的增加.     

无限期美式期权定价与马氏链的最优停止

该文给出了无限期美式期权的定价公式以及最优实施期 .     

按揭支付的单调性分析

考虑了基于随机提前偿付的按揭支付的期望收入或损失的分析模型,模型具有和提前偿付的概率分布无关的一些单调特性,揭示了潜在的异于传统的按揭风险控制思路,可以支持新颖支付模式的研发,并构成按揭风险治理的有力补充.     

PPP项目建造和营运的治理模式选择研究

PPP模式在中国情境下实施、建造和营运环节的治理和协调是一个十分重要的问题。基于交易费用经济学和新产权理论,建立数学模型,对PPP模式的治理展开探讨。首先建立了PPP项目的一般治理模式的数学模型,分析了最优社会福利,然后针对需求风险偿付契约分别建立了PPP项目的建造、营运分立治理模型和建造、营运合一的治理模型。研究表明:在需求风险偿付契约下,建、营合一治理模式比建、营分立的治理模式具有更高的社会福利。     

指数O-U过程下保证险的保险精算定价

引入期权定价理论,利用保险精算方法,得到了全额担保和部分担保两类保证险的保险精算定价公式,其中未偿付额为常数,房产价格服从指数O-U过程.     

基于损失厌恶和LEL约束下的DC养老金计划的最优投资

研究了DC型养老金经理在损失厌恶和有限期望损失约束下的最优投资组合问题.利用凹化方法得到了基于有限期望损失约束下的DC型养老金的最优财富过程的解析表达式,并进一步比较了在前景理论框架下有限期望损失约束和VaR约束对最优投资行为的影响.虽然在凹效用最大化问题中,当经济非常萧条时,有限期望损失约束下所发生的损失要低于VaR约束下所发生的损失,从而使得有限期望损失约束被认为是一个比VaR约束更有效的风险管理方法,但是在本文所考虑的非凹效用最大化问题中,理论与数值结果表明,当保护水平不是太高时,DC型养老金的最优财富在有限期望损失约束下具有与VaR约束下相同形式的表达公式,也就是说,有限期望损失约束与VaR约束存在着等价关系.因此,在非凹效用框架下,基于有限期望损失约束的风险管理并不比基于VaR约束的风险管理更具有优势,对于损失厌恶型的投资者,需要设计其它有效的风险管理方法来更好地改进对DC型养老金计划的风险管理.     

O.R. Education and Developing Economies with Special Reference to India

The paper reviews the current state of application of O.R. in general and in developed economies in particular. It then analyses the causes for unsatisfactory application of O.R. in developing economies. Based on the analysis, the paper proceeds to review the existing O.R. education and training and develops an integrated design of O.R. education and training for developing economies. The paper outlines the role that international agencies should play in implementing the proposed scheme of O.R. education and training for developing economies.     

中国上市建筑企业规模经济和范围经济评价——一种随机边界成本函数方法

目前对于企业规模经济和范围经济的研究大多数是在不存在X无效的假设下进行的。即认为企业始终是在它们的有效边界内的,因此对企业规模经济和范围经济的实证研究也都是X有效的前提下的。本文试图采用一种成本非有效的随机边界成本函数,建立广义超越对数成本函数模型对企业规模经济和范围经济进行评价。数据来源于深沪两市建筑业板块25家上市公司2003-2007年的年度报告。研究结果表明:我国上市建筑企业中同时存在着规模不经济和范围不经济,而不存在X无效性假设条件下的估计结果使得规模经济值被提高。     

On the convergence to Walrasian prices in random matching Edgeworthian economies

We show that for a specific class of random matching Edgeworthian economies, the expectation of the limiting equilibrium price coincides with the equilibrium price of the related Walrasian economies. This result extends to the study of economies in the presence of uncertainty within the multi-period Arrow-Debreu model, allowing to understand the dynamics of how beliefs survive and propagate through the market.     

Specialization, inequality and the social stability of economies with collective property rights

Many, if not most, economies are observed to exhibit some form of collective ownership with some goods. These economies may fail to be socially stable, in the sense that the economy has an empty core; some groups may have an incentive to ‘recontract out’. We show that, for a class of economies with collective ownership, sufficient ‘specialization’ in the endowment holdings of these economies gives rise to a non-empty core, so achieving social stability. It is shown, moreover, that reductions in income inequality are consistent with social stability, to the extent that these reductions preserve or increase ‘specialization’ in the economy. Finally, we show that our notion of specialization is not limited to the privatized sector of the economy. Even in economies in which there is no privately held property, sufficient specialization guarantees that the economy is socially stable.     

Exploring multiple equilibria for symmetric 2×2 CES/LES pure exchange economies

This paper explores the existence of 3 equilibria for symmetric 2-individual 2-good CES/LES pure exchange economies. For certain parameterizations in the economies, we show analytically that there are no more than 3 equilibria. We generalize our analytical results of existence of 3 equilibria for a wide range of parameterizations. Then we provide examples of 3 equilibria and parameter zones of 3 equilibria for CES and CES/LES economies.     

EXISTENCE OF EXPECTATION EQUILIBRIUM OF REAL ASSET ECONOMIES WITH TRANSACTION COSTS

Abstract. To some two period economies with countable infinite state spaces, the existence of expectation equilibrium of real asset economies with transaction costs is given. This work extends the researches of Zame in 1993.     

带交易费用的可数无限态两期经济的均衡存在性

To some two-period economies with countable infinite state spaces,the existence of expectation equilibrium of real asset economies with transaction costs is given. This work extends the researches of Zame in 1993.     

Computing economies of vertical integration,economies of scope and economies of scale using partial frontier nonparametric methods

So far, in the nonparametric literature only full frontier nonparametric methods have been applied to search for economies of scope and scale, particularly the data envelopment analysis method (DEA). However, these methods present some drawbacks that might lead to biased results. This paper proposes a methodology based on more robust partial frontier nonparametric methods to look for scope and scale economies. Through this methodology it is possible to assess the robustness of these economies, and in particular to assess the influence that extreme data or outliers might have on them. The influence of the imposition of convexity on the production set of firms was also investigated. This methodology was applied to the water utilities that operated in Portugal between 2002 and 2008. There is evidence of economies of vertical integration and economies of scale in drinking water supply utilities and in water and wastewater utilities operating mainly in the retail segment. Economies of scale were found in water and wastewater utilities operating exclusively in the wholesale, and in some of these utilities diseconomies of scope were also found. The proposed methodology also allowed us to conclude that the existence of some smaller utilities makes the minimum optimal scales go down.     

Linear Transformation of Products: Games and Economies

In this paper, we introduce situations involving the linear transformation of products (LTP). LTP situations are production situations where each producer has a single linear transformation technique. First, we approach LTP situations from a (cooperative) game theoretical point of view. We show that the corresponding LTP games are totally balanced. By extending an LTP situation to one where a producer may have more than one linear transformation technique, we derive a new characterization of (nonnegative) totally balanced games: each totally balanced game with nonnegative values is a game corresponding to such an extended LTP situation. The second approach to LTP situations is based on a more economic point of view. We relate (standard) LTP situations to economies in two ways and we prove that the economies are standard exchange economies (with production). Relations between the equilibria of these economies and the cores of cooperative LTP games are investigated.