American Options Exercise Boundary When the Volatility Changes Randomly

The American put option exercise boundary has been studied extensively as a function of time and the underlying asset price. In this paper we analyze its dependence on the volatility, since the Black and Scholes model is used in practice via the (varying) implied volatility parameter. We consider a stochastic volatility model for the underlying asset price. We provide an extension of the regularity results of the American put option price function and we prove that the optimal exercise boundary is a decreasing function of the current volatility process realization. Accepted 13 January 1998     

Risk Minimizing Option Pricing in a Regime Switching Market

Abstract

We study option pricing in a regime switching market where the risk free interest rate, growth rate and the volatility of a stock depends on a finite state Markov chain. Using a minimal martingale measure we show that the risk minimizing option price satisfies a system of Black–Scholes partial differential equations with weak coupling.     

Exact volatility calibration based on a Dupire-type Call–Put duality for perpetual American options

This paper investigates the calibration of a model with a time-homogeneous local volatility function to the market prices of the perpetual American Call and Put options. The main step is the derivation of a Call–Put duality equality for perpetual American options similar to the equality which is equivalent to Dupire’s formula (Dupire in Risk 7(1):18–20, 1994) in the European case. It turns out that in addition to the simultaneous exchanges between the spot price and the strike and between the interest and dividend rates which already appear in the European case, one has to modify the local volatility function in the American case. To show this duality equality, we exhibit non-autonomous nonlinear ODEs satisfied by the perpetual Call and Put exercise boundaries as functions of the strike variable. We obtain uniqueness for these ODEs and deduce that the mapping associating the exercise boundary with the local volatility function is one-to-one onto. Thanks to this Dupire-type duality result, we design a theoretical calibration procedure of the local volatility function from the perpetual Call and Put prices for a fixed spot price x ₀. The knowledge of the Put (resp. Call) prices for all strikes enables to recover the local volatility function on the interval (0, x ₀) (resp. (x ₀, +∞)). We last prove that equality of the dual volatility functions only holds in the standard Black-Scholes model with constant volatility.      

The British Put Option

Abstract

We present a new put option where the holder enjoys the early exercise feature of American options whereupon his payoff (deliverable immediately) is the ‘best prediction’ of the European payoff under the hypothesis that the true drift of the stock price equals a contract drift. Inherent in this is a protection feature which is key to the British put option. Should the option holder believe the true drift of the stock price to be unfavourable (based upon the observed price movements) he can substitute the true drift with the contract drift and minimize his losses. The practical implications of this protection feature are most remarkable as not only can the option holder exercise at or above the strike price to a substantial reimbursement of the original option price (covering the ability to sell in a liquid option market completely endogenously) but also when the stock price movements are favourable he will generally receive higher returns at a lesser price. We derive a closed form expression for the arbitrage-free price in terms of the rational exercise boundary and show that the rational exercise boundary itself can be characterized as the unique solution to a nonlinear integral equation. Using these results we perform a financial analysis of the British put option that leads to the conclusions above and shows that with the contract drift properly selected the British put option becomes a very attractive alternative to the classic American put.     

Optimal stopping, free boundary, and American option in a jump-diffusion model

This paper considers the American put option valuation in a jump-diffusion model and relates this optimal-stopping problem to a parabolic integro-differential free-boundary problem, with special attention to the behavior of the optimal-stopping boundary. We study the regularity of the American option value and obtain in particular a decomposition of the American put option price as the sum of its counterpart European price and the early exercise premium. Compared with the Black-Scholes (BS) [5] model, this premium has an additional term due to the presence of jumps. We prove the continuity of the free boundary and also give one estimate near maturity, generalizing a recent result of Barleset al. [3] for the BS model. Finally, we study the effect of the market price of jump risk and the intensity of jumps on the American put option price and its critical stock price.     

An IMEX‐BDF2 compact scheme for pricing options under regime‐switching jump‐diffusion models

In this paper, an implicit‐explicit two‐step backward differentiation formula (IMEX‐BDF2) together with finite difference compact scheme is developed for the numerical pricing of European and American options whose asset price dynamics follow the regime‐switching jump‐diffusion process. It is shown that IMEX‐BDF2 method for solving this system of coupled partial integro‐differential equations is stable with the second‐order accuracy in time. On the basis of IMEX‐BDF2 time semi‐discrete method, we derive a fourth‐order compact (FOC) finite difference scheme for spatial discretization. Since the payoff function of the option at the strike price is not differentiable, the results show only second‐order accuracy in space. To remedy this, a local mesh refinement strategy is used near the strike price so that the accuracy achieves fourth order. Numerical results illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method for European and American options under regime‐switching jump‐diffusion models.     

Real options analysis of investment in carbon capture and sequestration technology

Among a comprehensive scope of mitigation measures for climate change, CO₂ capture and sequestration (CCS) plays a potentially significant role in industrialised countries. In this paper, we develop an analytical real options model that values the choice between two emissions-reduction technologies available to a coal-fired power plant. Specifically, the plant owner may decide to invest in either full CCS (FCCS) or partial CCS (PCCS) retrofits given uncertain electricity, CO₂, and coal prices. We first assess the opportunity to upgrade to each technology independently by determining the option value of installing a CCS unit as a function of CO₂ and fuel prices. Next, we value the option of investing in either FCCS or PCCS technology. If the volatilities of the prices are low enough, then the investment region is dichotomous, which implies that for a given fuel price, retrofitting to the FCCS (PCCS) technology is optimal if the CO₂ price increases (decreases) sufficiently. The numerical examples provided in this paper using current market data suggest that neither retrofit is optimal immediately. Finally, we observe that the optimal stopping boundaries are highly sensitive to CO₂ price volatility.     

On the American option‐pricing model with an uncertain volatility

In this paper, we study an American option‐pricing model with an uncertain volatility. Some properties for the option price are derived. Particularly, a global spread for the option price is proved when the volatility depends on the underlying security and time. This result confirms the observed fact from the real financial data in option markets. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Numerical methods for backward Markov chain driven Black-Scholes option pricing

The drift, the risk-free interest rate, and the volatility change over time horizon in realistic financial world. These frustrations break the necessary assumptions in the Black-Scholes model (BSM) in which all parameters are assumed to be constant. To better model the real markets, a modified BSM is proposed for numerically evaluating options price-changeable parameters are allowed through the backward Markov regime switching. The method of fundamental solutions (MFS) is applied to solve the modified model and price a given option. A series of numerical simulations are provided to illustrate the effect of the changing market on option pricing.     

Pricing Volatility Swaps Under Heston's Stochastic Volatility Model with Regime Switching

A model is developed for pricing volatility derivatives, such as variance swaps and volatility swaps under a continuous‐time Markov‐modulated version of the stochastic volatility (SV) model developed by Heston. In particular, it is supposed that the parameters of this version of Heston's SV model depend on the states of a continuous‐time observable Markov chain process, which can be interpreted as the states of an observable macroeconomic factor. The market considered is incomplete in general, and hence, there is more than one equivalent martingale pricing measure. The regime switching Esscher transform used by Elliott et al. is adopted to determine a martingale pricing measure for the valuation of variance and volatility swaps in this incomplete market. Both probabilistic and partial differential equation (PDE) approaches are considered for the valuation of volatility derivatives.     

Pricing and hedging derivative securities in markets with uncertain volatilities

We present a model for pricing and hedging derivative securities and option portfolios in an environment where the volatility is not known precisely, but is assumed instead to lie between two extreme values σ_minand σ_max. These bounds could be inferred from extreme values of the implied volatilities of liquid options, or from high-low peaks in historical stock- or option-implied volatilities. They can be viewed as defining a confidence interval for future volatility values. We show that the extremal non-arbitrageable prices for the derivative asset which arise as the volatility paths vary in such a band can be described by a non-linear PDE, which we call the Black-Scholes-Barenblatt equation. In this equation, the ‘pricing’ volatility is selected dynamically from the two extreme values, σ_min, σ_max, according to the convexity of the value-function. A simple algorithm for solving the equation by finite-differencing or a trinomial tree is presented. We show that this model captures the importance of diversification in managing derivatives positions. It can be used systematically to construct efficient hedges using other derivatives in conjunction with the underlying asset.     

The American Foreign Exchange Option in Time-Dependent One-Dimensional Diffusion Model for Exchange Rate

The classical Garman-Kohlhagen model for the currency exchange assumes that the domestic and foreign currency risk-free interest rates are constant and the exchange rate follows a log-normal diffusion process. In this paper we consider the general case, when exchange rate evolves according to arbitrary one-dimensional diffusion process with local volatility that is the function of time and the current exchange rate and where the domestic and foreign currency risk-free interest rates may be arbitrary continuous functions of time. First non-trivial problem we encounter in time-dependent case is the continuity in time argument of the value function of the American put option and the regularity properties of the optimal exercise boundary. We establish these properties based on systematic use of the monotonicity in volatility for the value functions of the American as well as European options with convex payoffs together with the Dynamic Programming Principle and we obtain certain type of comparison result for the value functions and corresponding exercise boundaries for the American puts with different strikes, maturities and volatilities. Starting from the latter fact that the optimal exercise boundary curve is left continuous with right-hand limits we give a mathematically rigorous and transparent derivation of the significant early exercise premium representation for the value function of the American foreign exchange put option as the sum of the European put option value function and the early exercise premium. The proof essentially relies on the particular property of the stochastic integral with respect to arbitrary continuous semimartingale over the predictable subsets of its zeros. We derive from the latter the nonlinear integral equation for the optimal exercise boundary which can be studied by numerical methods.     

Equivalent Black volatilities

We consider European calls and puts on an asset whose forward price F(t) obeys dF(t)=α(t)A(F)dW(t,) under the forward measure. By using singular perturbation techniques, we obtain explicit algebraic formulas for the implied volatility σ _B in terms of today's forward price F ₀ ≡ F(0), the strike K of the option, and the time to expiry t_ex . The price of any call or put can then be calculated simply by substituting this implied volatility into Black's formula. For example, for a power law (constant elasticity of variance) model dF(t)=aF^β dW(t) we obtain σ _B = a/f _aυ ^1? β {1 + (1?β)(2+β)/24 (F ₀ ? K/f _aυ)² + (1 ? β)²/24 a ² t_ex /f _aυ ^2?2β +…} where f _aυ = ½(F ₀ + K). Our formula for the implied volatility is not exact. However, we show that the error is insignificant, rarely approaching 1/1000 of the time value of the option. We also present more accurate (albeit more complicated) formulas which can be used for the implied volatility.     

Partial differential integral equation model for pricing American option under multi state regime switching with jumps

In this paper, we consider a two dimensional partial differential integral equation (PDIE) model for pricing American option. A nonlinear rationality parameter function for two asset problems is introduced to deal with the free boundary. The rationality parameter function is added in the PDIEs used for pricing American option problems under multi-state regime switching with jumps. The resulting two dimensional nonlinear system of PDIE is then numerically solved. Based on real poles rational approximation, a strongly stable highly efficient and reliable method is developed to solve such complicated systems of PIDEs. The method is build in a predictor corrector style which makes it linearly implicit, therefore, avoids solving nonlinear systems of equations at each time step in all regimes. The method is seen to maintain the stability and convergence for large jump sizes and high volatility in each regime. The impact of regime switching on option prices corresponding to different values interest rate, volatility, and rationality parameter is computed, illustrated by graphs and given in the tables. Convergence results in each regime are presented and time evolution graphs are given to show the effectiveness and reliability of the method.     

随机波动率的美式期权定价

本文利用随机波动率状态有限Markov链,通过有限差分方法计算美式期权的价值.这种方法既避免了建立复杂的随机波动率模型,又较大程度地改进了常数波动率的计算结果,获得与真实结果比较接近数值解,推广了二项式概率树模型.     

Perpetual Options on Multiple Underlyings

Abstract

We study three classes of perpetual option with multiple uncertainties and American-style exercise boundaries, using a partial differential equation-based approach. A combination of accurate numerical techniques and asymptotic analyses is implemented, with each approach informing and confirming the other. The first two examples we study are a put basket option and a call basket option, both involving two stochastic underlying assets, whilst the third is a (novel) class of real option linked to stochastic demand and costs (the details of the modelling for this are described in the paper). The Appendix addresses the issue of pricing American-style perpetual options involving (just) one stochastic underlying, but in which the volatility is also modelled stochastically, using the Heston (1993) framework.     

Pricing perpetual American options under a stochastic-volatility model with fast mean reversion

In this paper, we present a “correction” to Merton’s (1973) well-known classical case of pricing perpetual American puts by considering the same pricing problem under a general fast mean-reverting SV (stochastic-volatility) model. By using the perturbation method, two analytic formulae are derived for the option price and the optimal exercise price, respectively. Based on the newly obtained formulae, we conduct a quantitative analysis of the impact of the SV term on the price of a perpetual American put option as well as its early exercise strategies. It shows that the presence of a fast mean-reverting SV tends to universally increase the put option price and to defer the optimal time to exercise the option contract, had the underlying been assumed to be falling. It is also noted that such an effect could be quite significant when the option is near the money.     

Risk premium and fair option prices under stochastic volatility: the HARA solution

We have solved the problem of finding (HARA) fair option price under a general stochastic volatility model. For a given HARA utility, the ‘risk premium’, i.e., the ‘market price of volatility risk’ is determined via a solution of a certain nonlinear PDE. Equivalently, the fair option price is determined as a solution of an uncoupled system of a non-linear PDE and a Black–Scholes type PDE. To cite this article: S.D. Stojanovic, C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris, Ser. I 340 (2005).     

Asymptotic analysis of option pricing in a Markov modulated market

We address asymptotic analysis of option pricing in a regime switching market where the risk free interest rate, growth rate and the volatility of the stocks depend on a finite state Markov chain. We study two variations of the chain namely, when the chain is moving very fast compared to the underlying asset price and when it is moving very slow. Using quadratic hedging and asymptotic expansion, we derive corrections on the locally risk minimizing option price.     

American options and stochastic interest rates

We study finite-maturity American equity options in a stochastic mean-reverting diffusive interest rate framework. We allow for a non-zero correlation between the innovations driving the equity price and the interest rate. Importantly, we also allow for the interest rate to assume negative values, which is the case for some investment grade government bonds in Europe in recent years. In this setting we focus on American equity call and put options and characterize analytically their two-dimensional free boundary, i.e. the underlying equity and the interest rate values that trigger the optimal exercise of the option before maturity. We show that non-standard double continuation regions may appear, extending the findings documented in the literature in a constant interest rate framework. Moreover, we contribute by developing a bivariate discretization of the equity price and interest rate processes that converges in distribution as the time step shrinks. This discretization, described by a recombining quadrinomial tree, allows us to compute American equity options’ prices and to analyze their free boundaries with respect to time and current interest rate. Finally, we document the existence of non-standard optimal exercise policies for American call options on a non-dividend-paying equity.