Dynamic pricing and inventory control: robust vs. stochastic uncertainty models—a computational study

In this paper, we consider a variety of models for dealing with demand uncertainty for a joint dynamic pricing and inventory control problem in a make-to-stock manufacturing system. We consider a multi-product capacitated, dynamic setting, where demand depends linearly on the price. Our goal is to address demand uncertainty using various robust and stochastic optimization approaches. For each of these approaches, we first introduce closed-loop formulations (adjustable robust and dynamic programming), where decisions for a given time period are made at the beginning of the time period, and uncertainty unfolds as time evolves. We then describe models in an open-loop setting, where decisions for the entire time horizon must be made at time zero. We conclude that the affine adjustable robust approach performs well (when compared to the other approaches such as dynamic programming, stochastic programming and robust open loop approaches) in terms of realized profits and protection against constraint violation while at the same time it is computationally tractable. Furthermore, we compare the complexity of these models and discuss some insights on a numerical example.     

Convergence of a Scholtes-type regularization method for cardinality-constrained optimization problems with an application in sparse robust portfolio optimization

We consider general nonlinear programming problems with cardinality constraints. By relaxing the binary variables which appear in the natural mixed-integer programming formulation, we obtain an almost equivalent nonlinear programming problem, which is thus still difficult to solve. Therefore, we apply a Scholtes-type regularization method to obtain a sequence of easier to solve problems and investigate the convergence of the obtained KKT points. We show that such a sequence converges to an S-stationary point, which corresponds to a local minimizer of the original problem under the assumption of convexity. Additionally, we consider portfolio optimization problems where we minimize a risk measure under a cardinality constraint on the portfolio. Various risk measures are considered, in particular Value-at-Risk and Conditional Value-at-Risk under normal distribution of returns and their robust counterparts under moment conditions. For these investment problems formulated as nonlinear programming problems with cardinality constraints we perform a numerical study on a large number of simulated instances taken from the literature and illuminate the computational performance of the Scholtes-type regularization method in comparison to other considered solution approaches: a mixed-integer solver, a direct continuous reformulation solver and the Kanzow–Schwartz regularization method, which has already been applied to Markowitz portfolio problems.     

不确定信息多目标线性优化的鲁棒方法

研究不确定信息的多目标线性优化问题,其数据不能精确给出但是属于一个给定的集合.首先,采用鲁棒方法把该问题转化为一个确定的多目标优化问题.然后,给出此问题解存在的充分条件.最后,通过实例验证了用鲁棒方法解决不确定信息的多目标线性优化问题的有效性.     

A model of distributionally robust two-stage stochastic convex programming with linear recourse

We consider distributionally robust two-stage stochastic convex programming problems, in which the recourse problem is linear. Other than analyzing these new models case by case for different ambiguity sets, we adopt a unified form of ambiguity sets proposed by Wiesemann, Kuhn and Sim, and extend their analysis from a single stochastic constraint to the two-stage stochastic programming setting. It is shown that under a standard set of regularity conditions, this class of problems can be converted to a conic optimization problem. Numerical results are presented to show the efficiency of the distributionally robust approach.     

Robust spectral risk optimization when the subjective risk aversion is ambiguous: a moment-type approach

Choice of a risk measure for quantifying risk of an investment portfolio depends on the decision maker’s risk preference. In this paper, we consider the case when such a preference can be described by a law invariant coherent risk measure but the choice of a specific risk measure is ambiguous. We propose a robust spectral risk approach to address such ambiguity. Differing from Wang and Xu (SIAM J Optim 30(4):3198–3229, 2020), the new robust model allows one to elicit the decision maker’s risk preference through pairwise comparisons and use the elicited preference information to construct an ambiguity set of risk spectra. The robust spectral risk measure (RSRM) is based on the worst case risk spectrum from the set. To calculate RSRM and solve the associated optimal decision making problem, we use a technique from Acerbi and Simonetti (Portfolio optimization with spectral measures of risk. Working paper, 2002) to develop a new computational approach which is independent of order statistics and reformulate the robust spectral risk optimization problem as a single deterministic convex programming problem when the risk spectra in the ambiguity set are step-like. Moreover, we propose an approximation scheme when the risk spectra are not step-like and derive a bound for the model approximation error and its propagation to the optimal decision making problems. Some preliminary numerical test results are reported about the performance of the robust model and the computational scheme.

     

Strategic robust supply chain design based on the Pareto-optimal tradeoff between efficiency and risk

The strategic design of a robust supply chain has to determine the configuration of the supply chain so that its performance remains of a consistently high quality for all possible future conditions. The current modeling techniques often only consider either the efficiency or the risk of the supply chain. Instead, we define the strategic robust supply chain design as the set of all Pareto-optimal configurations considering simultaneously the efficiency and the risk, where the risk is measured by the standard deviation of the efficiency. We model the problem as the Mean–Standard Deviation Robust Design Problem (MSD-RDP). Since the standard deviation has a square root expression, which makes standard maximization algorithms based on mixed-integer linear programming non-applicable, we show the equivalency to the Mean–Variance Robust Design Problem (MV-RDP). The MV-RDP yields an infinite number of mixed-integer programming problems with quadratic objective (MIQO) when considering all possible tradeoff weights. In order to identify all Pareto-optimal configurations efficiently, we extend the branch-and-reduce algorithm by applying optimality cuts and upper bounds to eliminate parts of the infeasible region and the non-Pareto-optimal region. We show that all Pareto-optimal configurations can be found within a prescribed optimality tolerance with a finite number of iterations of solving the MIQO. Numerical experience for a metallurgical case is reported.     

Constrained Markov decision processes with uncertain costs

We consider a finite state-action discounted constrained Markov decision process with uncertain running costs and known transition probabilities. We propose equivalent linear programming, second-order cone programming and semidefinite programming problems for the robust constrained Markov decision processes when the uncertain running cost vectors belong to polytopic, ellipsoidal, and semidefinite cone uncertainty sets, respectively. As an application, we study a variant of a machine replacement problem and perform numerical experiments on randomly generated instances of various sizes.     

Robust duality for generalized convex programming problems under data uncertainty

In this paper we present a robust duality theory for generalized convex programming problems in the face of data uncertainty within the framework of robust optimization. We establish robust strong duality for an uncertain nonlinear programming primal problem and its uncertain Lagrangian dual by showing strong duality between the deterministic counterparts: robust counterpart of the primal model and the optimistic counterpart of its dual problem. A robust strong duality theorem is given whenever the Lagrangian function is convex. We provide classes of uncertain non-convex programming problems for which robust strong duality holds under a constraint qualification. In particular, we show that robust strong duality is guaranteed for non-convex quadratic programming problems with a single quadratic constraint with the spectral norm uncertainty under a generalized Slater condition. Numerical examples are given to illustrate the nature of robust duality for uncertain nonlinear programming problems. We further show that robust duality continues to hold under a weakened convexity condition.     

On approximate solutions for robust convex semidefinite optimization problems

In this paper, we consider approximate solutions (\(\epsilon \)-solutions) for a convex semidefinite programming problem in the face of data uncertainty. Using robust optimization approach (worst-case approach), we prove an approximate optimality theorem and approximate duality theorems for \(\epsilon \)-solutions in robust convex semidefinite programming problem under the robust characteristic cone constraint qualification. Moreover, an example is given to illustrate the obtained results.     

Variable-sized uncertainty and inverse problems in robust optimization

In robust optimization, the general aim is to find a solution that performs well over a set of possible parameter outcomes, the so-called uncertainty set. In this paper, we assume that the uncertainty size is not fixed, and instead aim at finding a set of robust solutions that covers all possible uncertainty set outcomes. We refer to these problems as robust optimization with variable-sized uncertainty. We discuss how to construct smallest possible sets of min–max robust solutions and give bounds on their size.A special case of this perspective is to analyze for which uncertainty sets a nominal solution ceases to be a robust solution, which amounts to an inverse robust optimization problem. We consider this problem with a min–max regret objective and present mixed-integer linear programming formulations that can be applied to construct suitable uncertainty sets.Results on both variable-sized uncertainty and inverse problems are further supported with experimental data.     

信用资产组合优化的"条件在险值-补偿"型随机规划模型

本文对于信用资产组合的优化问题给出了一个稳健的模型，所建模型涉及了条件在险值（CVaR）风险度量以及具有补偿限制的随机线性规划框架，其思想是在CVaR与信用资产组合的重构费用之间进行权衡，并降低解对于随机参数的实现的敏感性．为求解相应的非线性规划，本文将基本模型转化为一系列的线性规划的求解问题．     

A discrete dynamic convexized method for nonlinear integer programming

In this paper, we consider the box constrained nonlinear integer programming problem. We present an auxiliary function, which has the same discrete global minimizers as the problem. The minimization of the function using a discrete local search method can escape successfully from previously converged discrete local minimizers by taking increasing values of a parameter. We propose an algorithm to find a global minimizer of the box constrained nonlinear integer programming problem. The algorithm minimizes the auxiliary function from random initial points. We prove that the algorithm can converge asymptotically with probability one. Numerical experiments on a set of test problems show that the algorithm is efficient and robust.     

On robust duality for fractional programming with uncertainty data

In this paper, we present a duality theory for fractional programming problems in the face of data uncertainty via robust optimization. By employing conjugate analysis, we establish robust strong duality for an uncertain fractional programming problem and its uncertain Wolfe dual programming problem by showing strong duality between the deterministic counterparts: robust counterpart of the primal model and the optimistic counterpart of its dual problem. We show that our results encompass as special cases some programming problems considered in the recent literature. Moreover, we also show that robust strong duality always holds for linear fractional programming problems under scenario data uncertainty or constraint-wise interval uncertainty, and that the optimistic counterpart of the dual is tractable computationally.     

SDP approximability of relative robust QP

We consider a relative robust quadratic optimization problem with ellipsoidal uncertainty. This problem is generally NP-hard, but we show how it can often be well approximated via a conic programming model. (© 2008 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

Risk measurement and risk-averse control of partially observable discrete-time Markov systems

We consider risk measurement in controlled partially observable Markov processes in discrete time. We introduce a new concept of conditional stochastic time consistency and we derive the structure of risk measures enjoying this property. We prove that they can be represented by a collection of static law invariant risk measures on the space of function of the observable part of the state. We also derive the corresponding dynamic programming equations. Finally we illustrate the results on a machine deterioration problem.     

证券投资组合优化问题的强健性的锥优化方法(英)

本文研究了具有强健性的证券投资组合优化问题.模型以最差条件在值风险为风险度量方法,并且考虑了交易费用对收益的影响.当投资组合的收益率概率分布不能准确确定但是在有界的区间内,尤其是在箱型区间结构和椭球区域结构内时,我们可以把具有强健性的证券投资组合优化问题的模型分别转化成线性规划和二阶锥规划形式.最后,我们用一个真实市场数据的算例来验证此方法.     

Robust optimal risk sharing and risk premia in expanding pools

We consider the problem of optimal risk sharing in a pool of cooperative agents. We analyze the asymptotic behavior of the certainty equivalents and risk premia associated with the Pareto optimal risk sharing contract as the pool expands. We first study this problem under expected utility preferences with an objectively or subjectively given probabilistic model. Next, we develop a robust approach by explicitly taking uncertainty about the probabilistic model (ambiguity) into account. The resulting robust certainty equivalents and risk premia compound risk and ambiguity aversion. We provide explicit results on their limits and rates of convergence, induced by Pareto optimal risk sharing in expanding pools.     

Two-stage minimax regret robust uncapacitated lot-sizing problems with demand uncertainty

In this paper, we consider the two-stage minimax robust uncapacitated lot-sizing problem with interval uncertain demands. A mixed integer programming formulation is proposed. Even though the robust uncapacitated lot-sizing problem with discrete scenarios is an NP-hard problem, we show that it is polynomial solvable under the interval uncertain demand set.     

证券投资组合优化问题的强健性的锥优化方法(英文)

本文研究了具有强健性的证券投资组合优化问题.模型以最差条件在值风险为风险度量方法,并且考虑了交易费用对收益的影响.当投资组合的收益率概率分布不能准确确定但是在有界的区间内,尤其是在箱型区间结构和椭球区域结构内时,我们可以把具有强健性的证券投资组合优化问题的模型分别转化成线性规划和二阶锥规划形式.最后,我们用一个真实市场数据的算例来验证此方法.     

Conditional Value-at-Risk in Stochastic Programs with Mixed-Integer Recourse

In classical two-stage stochastic programming the expected value of the total costs is minimized. Recently, mean-risk models - studied in mathematical finance for several decades - have attracted attention in stochastic programming. We consider Conditional Value-at-Risk as risk measure in the framework of two-stage stochastic integer programming. The paper addresses structure, stability, and algorithms for this class of models. In particular, we study continuity properties of the objective function, both with respect to the first-stage decisions and the integrating probability measure. Further, we present an explicit mixed-integer linear programming formulation of the problem when the probability distribution is discrete and finite. Finally, a solution algorithm based on Lagrangean relaxation of nonanticipativity is proposed. Received: April, 2004