基于机器学习方法的丙型肝炎病毒聚合酶NS5B非核苷抑制剂的定量构效关系研究

对89 个苯并异噻唑和苯并噻嗪类丙型肝炎病毒(HCV) NS5B聚合酶非核苷抑制剂进行了定量构效关系(QSAR)研究. 采用遗传算法组合偏最小二乘(GA-PLS)和线性逐步回归分析(LSRA)两种特征选择方法选择最优描述符子集, 然后建立多元线性回归和偏最小二乘线性回归模型. 并首次尝试使用遗传算法耦合支持向量机方法(GA-SVM)对两种特征选择方法所选的描述符子集分别建立非线性支持向量机回归模型. 三种机器学习方法所建模型均得到比较满意的预测效果. 采用LSRA所选的6 个描述符建立的三个QSAR模型对于测试集的相关系数为0.958-0.962, GA-SVM法给出最好的预测精度(0.962). 采用GA-PLS所选的7个描述符建立的三个QSAR模型对于测试集的相关系数为0.918-0.960, 偏最小二乘回归模型的结果最好(0.960). 本工作提供了一种有效的方法来预测丙型肝炎病毒抑制剂的生物活性, 该方法也可以扩展到其他类似的定量构效关系研究领域.     

Combinatorial QSAR modeling of chemical toxicants tested against Tetrahymena pyriformis

Selecting most rigorous quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) approaches is of great importance in the development of robust and predictive models of chemical toxicity. To address this issue in a systematic way, we have formed an international virtual collaboratory consisting of six independent groups with shared interests in computational chemical toxicology. We have compiled an aqueous toxicity data set containing 983 unique compounds tested in the same laboratory over a decade against Tetrahymena pyriformis. A modeling set including 644 compounds was selected randomly from the original set and distributed to all groups that used their own QSAR tools for model development. The remaining 339 compounds in the original set (external set I) as well as 110 additional compounds (external set II) published recently by the same laboratory (after this computational study was already in progress) were used as two independent validation sets to assess the external predictive power of individual models. In total, our virtual collaboratory has developed 15 different types of QSAR models of aquatic toxicity for the training set. The internal prediction accuracy for the modeling set ranged from 0.76 to 0.93 as measured by the leave-one-out cross-validation correlation coefficient ( Q abs2). The prediction accuracy for the external validation sets I and II ranged from 0.71 to 0.85 (linear regression coefficient R absI2) and from 0.38 to 0.83 (linear regression coefficient R absII2), respectively. The use of an applicability domain threshold implemented in most models generally improved the external prediction accuracy but at the same time led to a decrease in chemical space coverage. Finally, several consensus models were developed by averaging the predicted aquatic toxicity for every compound using all 15 models, with or without taking into account their respective applicability domains. We find that consensus models afford higher prediction accuracy for the external validation data sets with the highest space coverage as compared to individual constituent models. Our studies prove the power of a collaborative and consensual approach to QSAR model development. The best validated models of aquatic toxicity developed by our collaboratory (both individual and consensus) can be used as reliable computational predictors of aquatic toxicity and are available from any of the participating laboratories.