The asymptotic estimate for the sum of two correlated classes of discounted aggregate claims with heavy tails

Consider a risk model with two correlated classes of insurance business and a constant force of interest. We assume that the correlation comes from a common shock and that the claim-size distribution is heavy-tailed. Under this setting, we investigate the tail behavior of the sum of the two correlated classes of discounted aggregate claims. We obtain the uniform asymptotic formulas for some subclass of subexponential distributions.     

Tail asymptotic for discounted aggregate claims with one-sided linear dependence and general investment return

In this study, we investigate the tail probability of the discounted aggregate claim sizes in a dependent risk model. In this model, the claim sizes are observed to follow a one-sided linear process with independent and identically distributed innovations. Investment return is described as a general stochastic process with c`adl`ag paths. In the case of heavy-tailed innovation distributions, we are able to derive some asymptotic estimates for tail probability and to provide some asymptotic upper bounds to improve the applicability of our study.     

On the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function for subexponential claims

We obtain the asymptotics of the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function in the classical Lundberg model. We cosider claims from a class of subexponential distributions and find the asymptotics as the initial surplus x tends to infinity. The main term of the discounted penalty function ψ(x, δ) has different expressions in the cases where the interest rate δ > 0 and where δ = 0. Published in Lietuvos Matematikos Rinkinys, Vol. 46, No. 4, pp. 598–605, October–December, 2006.     

Asymptotic finite-time ruin probability for a bidimensional renewal risk model with constant interest force and dependent subexponential claims

This paper considers a bidimensional renewal risk model with constant interest force and dependent subexponential claims. Under the assumption that the claim size vectors form a sequence of independent and identically distributed random vectors following a common bivariate Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern distribution, we derive for the finite-time ruin probability an explicit asymptotic formula.     

Asymptotics of discounted aggregate claims for renewal risk model with risky investment

Under the assumption that the claim size is subexponentially distributed and the insurance surplus is totally invested in risky asset, a simple asymptotic relation of tail probability of discounted aggregate claims for renewal risk model within finite horizon is obtained. The result extends the corresponding conclusions of related references.     

On upper bounds for the tail distribution of geometric sums of subexponential random variables

The approach used by Kalashnikov and Tsitsiashvili for constructing upper bounds for the tail distribution of a geometric sum with subexponential summands is reconsidered. By expressing the problem in a more probabilistic light, several improvements and one correction are made, which enables the constructed bound to be significantly tighter. Several examples are given, showing how to implement the theoretical result.     

On the numerical evaluation of the distribution of aggregate claims and its stop-loss premiums

The paper develops a method for the numerical evaluation of the distribution of aggregate claims and its stop-loss premiums.     

Estimates for the probability of ruin with special emphasis on the possibility of large claims

The present paper investigates, for the general Andersen model, the asymptotic behaviour of the probability of ruin function when the initial risk reserve tends to infinity. Whereas the exponential (Cramér) case is well understood, in the past, less attention has been paid to a systematic study of a model taking big claim sizes into account. We give a thorough treatment of the latter and also review previously known but mostly scattered results to show how they all follow from essentially one mathematical model.     

On the expected discounted penalty function for the compound Poisson risk model with delayed claims

In this paper, we consider an extension to the compound Poisson risk model for which the occurrence of the claim may be delayed. Two kinds of dependent claims, main claims and by-claims, are defined, where every by-claim is induced by the main claim and may be delayed with a certain probability. Both the expected discounted penalty functions with zero initial surplus and the Laplace transforms of the expected discounted penalty functions are obtained from an integro-differential equations system. We prove that the expected discounted penalty function satisfies a defective renewal equation. An exact representation for the solution of this equation is derived through an associated compound geometric distribution, and an analytic expression for this quantity is given for when the claim amounts from both classes are exponentially distributed. Moreover, the closed form expressions for the ruin probability and the distribution function of the surplus before ruin are obtained. We prove that the ruin probability for this risk model decreases as the probability of the delay of by-claims increases. Finally, numerical results are also provided to illustrate the applicability of our main result and the impact of the delay of by-claims on the expected discounted penalty functions.     

A Generalized Renewal Equation for Perturbed Compound Poisson Processes with Two-Sided Jumps

Abstract

In this article, we study the discounted penalty at ruin in a perturbed compound Poisson model with two-sided jumps. We show that it satisfies a renewal equation under suitable conditions and consider an application of this renewal equation to study some perpetual American options. In particular, our renewal equation gives a generalization of the renewal equation in Gerber and Landry [2 Gerber , H.U. , and Landry , B. 1998 . On the discounted penalty at ruin in a jump-diffusion and the perpetual put option . Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 22 : 263 – 276 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]] where only downward jumps are allowed.     

稀疏风险模型的期望折扣罚金函数

本文考虑了一类风险模型,其中保费到达过程是一个参数为$\lambda>0$的Poisson过程,而理赔过程是保费到达过程的稀疏过程. 在该模型下,我们得到了期望折扣罚金函数所满足的积分方程,积分--微分方程以及递推公式, 并且当保费和理赔额均为指数分布时,我们使用积分--微分方程获得了破产时刻的Laplace变换和在破产时刻的赤字的闭式表达式.     

The ruin probability of the renewal model with constant interest force and negatively dependent heavy-tailed claims

Recently, Tang [Tang, Q., 2005a. Asymptotic ruin probabilities of the renewal model with constant interest force and regular variation. Scand. Actuar. J. (1), 1–5] obtained a simple asymptotic formula for the ruin probability of the renewal risk model with constant interest force and regularly varying tailed claims. In this paper, we use a completely different approach to extend Tang’s result to the case in which the claims are pairwise negatively dependent and extended regularly varying tailed.     

Actuarial comparisons for aggregate claims with randomly right-truncated claims

In this note, we consider an extension of the largest claims reinsurance treaty (LCR) with random upper thresholds for the claim sizes, that we call retention levels. The Laplace transform order for insurer’s aggregate claims is obtained assuming dependence among the random retention levels. Different results about the influence of dependence on the insurer total claim amount are also given including the connections with LCR and the case of combination with quota-share. Algebraic bounds for the insurer aggregate claims are obtained when a common fixed threshold is considered.     

A note on the subexponential asymptotics of the stationary distribution of M/G/1 type Markov chains

Masuyama (2011) obtained the subexponential asymptotics of the stationary distribution of an M/G/1 type Markov chain under the assumption related to the periodic structure of G-matrix. In this note, we improve Masuyama’s result by showing that the subexponential asymptotics holds without the assumption related to the periodic structure of G-matrix.     

一类索赔相关风险模型破产概率的研究

本文讨论一类索赔相关同时保费收取为一复合泊松过程的风险模型的破产问题，给出相应的Lundberg不等式．     

The asymptotic distributions of sums of record values for distributions with lognormal-type tails

Let X1,X2,... be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables and let X(1),X(2),... be the associatedrecord value sequence. We focus on the asymptotic distributions of sums of records, Tn=∑nk=1X(k), forX1 ∈ LN(γ). In this case, we find that 2 is a strange point for parameter γ. When γ＞ 2, Tn is asymptoticallynormal, while for 2 ＞γ＞ 1, we prove that Tn cannot converge in distribution to any non-degenerate lawthrough common centralizing and normalizing and log Tn is asymptotically normal.     

Uniform estimates for the finite-time ruin probability in the dependent renewal risk model

This paper investigates the finite-time ruin probability in the dependent renewal risk model, where the claim sizes are independent and identically distributed random variables with strongly subexponential tails, and the interarrival times are negatively dependent. We establish an asymptotic estimate, which holds uniformly for the time horizon varying in the positive half line.     

Optimal warranty policies for systems with imperfect repair

We investigate a system whose basic warranty coverage is minimal repair up to a specified warranty length. An additional service is offered whereby first failure is restored up to the consumers’ chosen level of repair. The problem is studied under two system replacement strategies: periodic maintenance before and after warranty. It turns out that our model generalizes the model of Rinsaka and Sandoh [K. Rinsaka, H. Sandoh, A stochastic model with an additional warranty contract, Computers and Mathematics with Applications 51 (2006) 179–188] and the model of Yeh et al. [R.H. Yeh, M.Y. Chen, C.Y. Lin, Optimal periodic replacement policy for repairable products under free-repair warranty, European Journal of Operational Research 176 (2007) 1678–1686]. We derive the optimal maintenance period and optimal level of repair based on the structures of the cost function and failure rate function. We show that under certain assumptions, the optimal repair level for additional service is an increasing function of the replacement time. We provide numerical studies to verify some of our results.