Remarks on between estimator in the intraclass correlation model with missing data

In this paper, we consider the between estimator under the intraclass correlation model with missing data. We give a necessary and sufficient condition for existing exact simultaneous confidence intervals for all contrasts in the means under the between transformed model, which indicates the F-test statistic and simultaneous confidence intervals, constructed by Seo et al. [T. Seo, J. Kikuchi, K. Koizumi, On simultaneous confidence intervals for all contracts in the means of the intraclass correlation model with missing data, J. Multivariate Anal. 97 (2006) 1976–1983] based on the between estimator, is invalid. Furthermore, using the distribution of the between estimator, we present the exact test statistics and confidence intervals for partial contrasts.     

On simultaneous confidence intervals for all contrasts in the means of the intraclass correlation model with missing data

In this paper, we consider simultaneous confidence intervals for all contrasts in the means when the observations are missing at random in the intraclass correlation model. An exact test statistic for the equality of the means and Scheffé, Bonferroni and Tukey types of simultaneous confidence intervals are given by an extension of Bhargava and Srivastava [On Tukey's confidence intervals for the contrasts in the means of the intraclass correlation model, J. Royal Statist. Soc. B35 (1973) 147-152] when the missing observations are of the monotone type. Finally, numerical results of simultaneous confidence intervals are presented.     

Exact confidence coefficients of simultaneous confidence intervals for multinomial proportions

Simultaneous confidence intervals for multinomial proportions are useful in many areas of science. Since 1964, approximate simultaneous 1-α confidence intervals have been proposed for multinomial proportions. Although at each point in the parameter space, these confidence sets have asymptotic 1-α coverage probability, the exact confidence coefficients of these simultaneous confidence intervals for a fixed sample size are unknown before.In this paper, we propose a procedure for calculating exact confidence coefficients for simultaneous confidence intervals of multinomial proportions for any fixed sample size. With this methodology, exact confidence coefficients can be clearly derived, and the point at which the infimum of the coverage probability occurs can be clearly identified.     

Simulation-Based Simultaneous Confidence Bands in Multiple Linear Regression With Predictor Variables Constrained in Intervals

This article presents a method for the construction of a simultaneous confidence band for the normal-error multiple linear regression model. The confidence bands considered have their width proportional to the standard error of the estimated regression function, and the predictor variables are allowed to be constrained in intervals. Past articles in this area gave exact bands only for the simple regression model. When there is more than one predictor variable, only conservative bands are proposed in the statistics literature. This article advances this methodology by providing simulation-based confidence bands for regression models with any number of predictor variables. Additionally, a criterion is proposed to assess the sensitivity of a simultaneous confidence band. This criterion is defined to be the probability that a false linear regression model is excluded from the band at least at one point and hence this false linear regression model is correctly declared as a false model by the band. Finally, the article considers and compares several computational algorithms for obtaining the confidence band.     

分数填补下两总体分位数差异的经验似然置信区间

设有两个非参数总体,其样本数据不完全,用分数填补法补足缺失数据,得到两总体的"完全"样本数据,在此基础上构造两总体分位数差异的经验似然置信区间.模拟结果显示,分数填补法可以得到更加精确的置信区间.     

Empirical likelihood for linear models with missing responses

The purpose of this article is to use an empirical likelihood method to study the construction of confidence intervals and regions for the parameters of interest in linear regression models with missing response data. A class of empirical likelihood ratios for the parameters of interest are defined such that any of our class of ratios is asymptotically chi-squared. Our approach is to directly calibrate the empirical log-likelihood ratio, and does not need multiplication by an adjustment factor for the original ratio. Also, a class of estimators for the parameters of interest is constructed, and the asymptotic distributions of the proposed estimators are obtained. Our results can be used directly to construct confidence intervals and regions for the parameters of interest. A simulation study indicates that the proposed methods are comparable in terms of coverage probabilities and average lengths/areas of confidence intervals/regions. An example of a real data set is used for illustrating our methods.     

Empirical likelihood inference for a partially linear errors-in-variables model with covariate data missing at random

The authors study the empirical likelihood method for partially linear errors-in-variablesmodel with covariate data missing at random. Empirical likelihood ratios for the regression coefficients and the baseline function are investigated, and the corresponding empirical log-likelihood ratios are proved to be asymptotically standard chi-squared, which can be used to construct confidence regions. The finite sample behavior of the proposed methods is evaluated by a simulation study which indicates that the proposed methods are comparable in terms of coverage probabilities and average length of confidence intervals. Finally, the Earthquake Magnitude dataset is used to illustrate our proposed method.     

Optimal plan for Wiener constant-stress accelerated degradation model

This paper explores inferential procedures for the Wiener constant-stress accelerated degradation model under degradation mechanism invariance. The exact confidence intervals are obtained for the parameters of the proposed accelerated degradation model. The generalized confidence intervals are also proposed for the reliability function and pth quantile of the lifetime at the normal operating stress level. In addition, the prediction intervals are developed for the degradation characteristic, lifetime and remaining useful life of the product at the normal operating stress level. The performance of the proposed generalized confidence intervals and the prediction intervals is assessed by the Monte Carlo simulation. Furthermore, a new optimum criterion is proposed based on minimizing the mean of the upper prediction limit for the degradation characteristic at the design stress level. The exact optimum plan is also derived for the Wiener accelerated degradation model according to the proposed optimal criterion. The proposed interval procedures and optimum plan are the free of the equal testing interval assumption. Finally, two examples are provided to illustrate the proposed interval procedures and exact optimum plan. Specifically, based on the degradation data of LEDs, some interval estimates of quantities related to reliability indicators are obtained. For the degradation data of carbon-film resistors, the optimal allocation of test units is derived in terms of the proposed optimal criterion.     

Inference for constant-stress accelerated degradation test based on Gamma process

This paper proposes a Gamma constant-stress accelerated degradation model based on the principle of the degradation mechanism invariance. The maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters of the proposed model are derived. Based on Cornish–Fisher expansion, the approximate confidence interval for the shape parameter of the Gamma degradation process is developed. Since it is difficult to obtain the exact confidence intervals for other model parameters and some quantities such as the mean degradation in unit time, the quantile and the reliability function of the lifetime at the normal stress level, the generalized confidence intervals for these quantities are proposed. The percentiles of the proposed generalized pivotal quantities can be obtained by the simulation. The performances of the proposed confidence intervals are evaluated by the Monte Carlo simulation method. In the simulation study, the proposed confidence intervals are compared with the Wald and the bootstrap-p confidence intervals. The simulation results show that the proposed confidence intervals outperform the Wald and the bootstrap-p confidence intervals in terms of the coverage percentage. Finally, a real example is used to illustrate the proposed procedures.     

随机插补下两线性模型中响应变量分位数差异的经验似然置信区间

设两个样本数据不完全的线性模型,其中协变量的观测值不缺失,响应变量的观测值随机缺失。采用随机回归插补法对响应变量的缺失值进行补足,得到两个线性回归模型的"完全"样本数据,在一定条件下得到两响应变量分位数差异的对数经验似然比统计量的极限分布为加权x_1~2,并利用此结果构造分位数差异的经验似然置信区间。模拟结果表明在随机插补下得到的置信区间具有较高的覆盖精度。     

Empirical likelihood method for quantiles with response data missing at random

Empirical likelihood is a nonparametric method for constructing confidence intervals and tests,notably in enabling the shape of a confidence region determined by the sample data.This paper presents a new version of the empirical likelihood method for quantiles under kernel regression imputation to adapt missing response data.It eliminates the need to solve nonlinear equations,and it is easy to apply.We also consider exponential empirical likelihood as an alternative method.Numerical results are presented to compare our method with others.     

Nonparametric inference on the difference of location parameters of correlated variables from fragmentary samples

Summary In this paper, two types of robust estimators and approximate confidence intervals for the difference of location parameters of correlated random variables are proposed and investigated when some observations are missing. It is shown that the suggested estimators are consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. In addition, the proposed approximate confidence intervals are also shown to enjoy some nice asymptotic properties.     

Nonstationary analysis of the loss queue and of queueing networks of loss queues

We present an iterative scheme based on the fixed-point approximation method, for the numerical calculation of the time-dependent mean number of customers and blocking probability functions in a nonstationary queueing network with multi-rate loss queues. We first show how the proposed method can be used to analyze a single-class, multi-class, and multi-rate nonstationary loss queue. Subsequently, the proposed method is extended to the analysis of a nonstationary queueing network of multi-rate loss queues. Comparisons with exact and simulation results showed that the results are consistently close to the exact results and they are always within simulation confidence intervals.     

Simultaneous confidence intervals for several inverse Gaussian populations

In this research, we propose simultaneous confidence intervals for all pairwise comparisons of means from inverse Gaussian distribution. Our method is based on fiducial generalized pivotal quantities for vector parameters. We prove that the constructed confidence intervals have asymptotically correct coverage probabilities. Simulation results show that the simulated Type-I errors are close to the nominal level even for small samples. The proposed approach is illustrated by an example.     

响应变量存在缺失时部分线性模型的经验似然推断

考虑响应变量带有缺失的部分线性模型,采用借补的思想,研究了参数部分和非参数部分的经验似然推断,证明了所提出的经验对数似然比统计量依分布收敛到χ2分布,由此构造参数部分和函数部分的置信域和逐点置信区间.对参数部分,模拟比较了经验似然与正态逼近方法;对函数部分,模拟了函数的逐点置信区间.     

The Factor Analytic Approach to Simultaneous Inference in the General Linear Model

Abstract

Consider the general linear model (GLM) Y = Xβ + ε. Suppose Θ₁,…, Θ_k, a subset of the β's, are of interest; Θ₁,…, Θ_k may be treatment contrasts in an ANOVA setting or regression coefficients in a response surface setting. Existing simultaneous confidence intervals for Θ₁,…, Θ_k are relatively conservative or, in the case of the MEANS option in PROC GLM of SAS, possibly misleading. The difficulty is with the multidimensionality of the integration required to compute exact coverage probability when X does not follow a nice textbook design. Noting that such exact coverage probabilities can be computed if the correlation matrix R of the estimators of Θ₁, …, Θ_k has a one-factor structure in the factor analytic sense, it is proposed that approximate simultaneous confidence intervals be computed by approximating R with the closest one-factor structure correlation matrix. Computer simulations of hundreds of randomly generated designs in the settings of regression, analysis of covariance, and unbalanced block designs show that the coverage probabilities are practically exact, more so than can be anticipated by even second-order probability bounds.     

Confidence sets for the two-parameter Rayleigh distribution under progressive censoring

Exact confidence intervals and regions are proposed for the location and scale parameters of the Rayleigh distribution. These sets are valid for complete data, and also for standard and progressive failure censoring. Constrained optimization problems are solved to find the minimum-size confidence sets for the Rayleigh parameters with the required confidence level. The smallest-area confidence region is derived by simultaneously solving four nonlinear equations. Three numerical examples regarding remission times of leukemia patients, strength data and the titanium content in an aircraft-grade alloy, as well as a simulation study, are included for illustrative purposes. Further applications in hypothesis testing and the construction of pointwise and simultaneous confidence bands are also pointed out.     

Individual confidence intervals for solutions to expected value formulations of stochastic variational inequalities

Stochastic variational inequalities (SVIs) provide a means for modeling various optimization and equilibrium problems where data are subject to uncertainty. Often the SVI cannot be solved directly and requires a numerical approximation. This paper considers the use of a sample average approximation and proposes three methods for computing confidence intervals for components of the true solution. The first two methods use an “indirect approach” that requires initially computing asymptotically exact confidence intervals for the solution to the normal map formulation of the SVI. The third method directly constructs confidence intervals for the true SVI solution; intervals produced with this method meet a minimum specified level of confidence in the same situations for which the first two methods are applicable. We justify the three methods theoretically with weak convergence results, discuss how to implement these methods, and test their performance using three numerical examples.     

Simultaneous confidence bands for nonparametric regression with missing covariate data

We consider a weighted local linear estimator based on the inverse selection probability for nonparametric regression with missing covariates at random. The asymptotic distribution of the maximal deviation between the estimator and the true regression function is derived and an asymptotically accurate simultaneous confidence band is constructed. The estimator for the regression function is shown to be oracally efficient in the sense that it is uniformly indistinguishable from that when the selection probabilities are known. Finite sample performance is examined via simulation studies which support our asymptotic theory. The proposed method is demonstrated via an analysis of a data set from the Canada 2010/2011 Youth Student Survey.

     

混合线性模型中方差比的置信区间

本文利用信仰推断给出了求混合线性模型中方差比的置信区间的方法，结果表明所得区间估计具有不变性。另外，本文给出了两种求区间估计的近似方法。