Prediction of anti-HIV activity and cytotoxicity of pyrimidinyl and triazinyl amines: A QSAR study

A QSAR study on a series of pyrimidinyl and triazinyl amines was performed to explore the physico-chemical parameters responsible for their anti-HIV activity and cytotoxicity. Physico-chemical parameters were calculated using WIN CAChe 6.1. Stepwise multiple linear regression analysis was carried out to derive QSAR models which were further evaluated for statistical significance and predictive power by internal and external validation. The selected best QSAR models showed correlation coefficient R of 0.914 and 0.901, and cross-validated squared correlation coefficient Q ² of 0.685 and 0.691 for anti-HIV activity and cytotoxicity, respectively. The developed significant QSAR model indicates that hydrophobicity of the whole molecule plays an important role in the anti-HIV activity and cytotoxicity of pyrimidinyl and triazinyl amine derivatives. When hydrophobicity is increased, anti-HIV activity of the present series of compounds is decreased leading to high cytotoxicity.     

A new strategy to improve the predictive ability of the local lazy regression and its application to the QSAR study of melanin‐concentrating hormone receptor 1 antagonists

In the quantitative structure‐activity relationship (QSAR) study, local lazy regression (LLR) can predict the activity of a query molecule by using the information of its local neighborhood without need to produce QSAR models a priori. When a prediction is required for a query compound, a set of local models including different number of nearest neighbors are identified. The leave‐one‐out cross‐validation (LOO‐CV) procedure is usually used to assess the prediction ability of each model, and the model giving the lowest LOO‐CV error or highest LOO‐CV correlation coefficient is chosen as the best model. However, it has been proved that the good statistical value from LOO cross‐validation appears to be the necessary, but not the sufficient condition for the model to have a high predictive power. In this work, a new strategy is proposed to improve the predictive ability of LLR models and to access the accuracy of a query prediction. The bandwidth of k neighbor value for LLR is optimized by considering the predictive ability of local models using an external validation set. This approach was applied to the QSAR study of a series of thienopyrimidinone antagonists of melanin‐concentrating hormone receptor 1. The obtained results from the new strategy shows evident improvement compared with the commonly used LOO‐CV LLR methods and the traditional global linear model. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Comput Chem, 2010     

Rational selection of training and test sets for the development of validated QSAR models

Quantitative Structure–Activity Relationship (QSAR) models are used increasingly to screen chemical databases and/or virtual chemical libraries for potentially bioactive molecules. These developments emphasize the importance of rigorous model validation to ensure that the models have acceptable predictive power. Using k nearest neighbors (kNN) variable selection QSAR method for the analysis of several datasets, we have demonstrated recently that the widely accepted leave-one-out (LOO) cross-validated R² (q²) is an inadequate characteristic to assess the predictive ability of the models [Golbraikh, A., Tropsha, A. Beware of q2! J. Mol. Graphics Mod. 20, 269-276, (2002)]. Herein, we provide additional evidence that there exists no correlation between the values of q ² for the training set and accuracy of prediction (R ²) for the test set and argue that this observation is a general property of any QSAR model developed with LOO cross-validation. We suggest that external validation using rationally selected training and test sets provides a means to establish a reliable QSAR model. We propose several approaches to the division of experimental datasets into training and test sets and apply them in QSAR studies of 48 functionalized amino acid anticonvulsants and a series of 157 epipodophyllotoxin derivatives with antitumor activity. We formulate a set of general criteria for the evaluation of predictive power of QSAR models.     

Application of genetic algorithm‐support vector regression (GA‐SVR) for quantitative analysis of herbal medicines

In this paper, a genetic algorithm‐support vector regression (GA‐SVR) coupled approach was proposed for investigating the relationship between fingerprints and properties of herbal medicines. GA was used to select variables so as to improve the predictive ability of the models. Two other widely used approaches, Random Forests (RF) and partial least squares regression (PLSR) combined with GA (namely GA‐RF and GA‐PLSR, respectively), were also employed and compared with the GA‐SVR method. The models were evaluated in terms of the correlation coefficient between the measured and predicted values (Rp), root mean square error of prediction, and root mean square error of leave‐one‐out cross‐validation. The performance has been tested on a simulated system, a chromatographic data set, and a near‐infrared spectroscopic data set. The obtained results indicate that the GA‐SVR model provides a more accurate answer, with higher Rp and lower root mean square error. The proposed method is suitable for the quantitative analysis and quality control of herbal medicines. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Comparative molecular field analysis and comparative molecular similarity index analysis studies on 1H NMR chemical shift of NH group of diaryl triazene derivatives

Comparative molecular field analysis (CoMFA), comparative molecular field analysis region focusing (CoMFA‐RF) for optimizing the region for the final partial least square analysis, and comparative molecular similarity indices analysis (CoMSIA) methods were employed to develop three‐dimensional quantitative structure–activity relationship (3D‐QSAR) models of ¹H NMR chemical shift of NH proton of diaryl triazene derivatives. The best orientation was searched by all‐orientation search (AOS) strategy to minimize the effect of the initial orientation of the structures. The predictive abilities of CoMFA‐RF and CoMSIA models were determined using a test set of ten compounds affording predictive correlation coefficients of 0.721 and 0.754, respectively, indicating good predictive power. For further model validation, cross validation (leave one out), progressive scrambling, and bootstrapping were also applied. The accuracy and speed of obtained 3D‐QSAR models for the prediction of ¹H NMR chemical shifts of NH group of diaryl triazene derivatives were greater compared to some computational well‐known procedures. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

DFT‐based QSAR study and molecular design of AHMA derivatives as potent anticancer agents

A quantitative structure–activity relationship (QSAR) of 3‐(9‐acridinylamino)‐5‐hydroxymethylaniline (AHMA) derivatives and their alkylcarbamates as potent anticancer agents has been studied using density functional theory (DFT), molecular mechanics (MM+), and statistical methods. In the best established QSAR equation, the energy (E_NL) of the next lowest unoccupied molecular orbital (NLUMO) and the net charges (Q_FR) of the first atom of the substituent R, as well as the steric parameter (MR₂) of subsituent R₂ are the main independent factors contributing to the anticancer activity of the compounds. A new scheme determining outliers by “leave‐one‐out” (LOO) cross‐validation coefficient (q) was suggested and successfully used. The fitting correlation coefficient (R²) and the “LOO” cross‐validation coefficient (q²) values for the training set of 25 compounds are 0.881 and 0.829, respectively. The predicted activities of 5 compounds in the test set using this QSAR model are in good agreement with their experimental values, indicating that this model has excellent predictive ability. Based on the established QSAR equation, 10 new compounds with rather high anticancer activity much greater than that of 34 compounds have been designed and await experimental verification. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Int J Quantum Chem, 2007     

Quantitative structure–activity relationship model for prediction study of corrosion inhibition efficiency using two‐stage sparse multiple linear regression

A new quantitative structure–activity relationship (QSAR) of the inhibition of mild steel corrosion in 1 M hydrochloric acid using furan derivatives was developed by proposing two‐stage sparse multiple linear regression. The sparse multiple linear regression using ridge penalty and sparse multiple linear regression using elastic net (SMLRE) were used to develop the QSAR model. The results show that the SMLRE‐based model possesses high predictive power compared with sparse multiple linear regression using ridge penalty‐based model according to the mean‐squared errors for both training and test datasets, leave‐one‐out internal validation (Q²_int = 0.98), and external validation (Q²_ext = 0.95). In addition, the results of applicability domain assessment using the leverage approach reveal a reliable and robust SMLRE‐based model. In conclusion, the developed QSAR model using SMLRE can be efficiently used in the studies of corrosion inhibition efficiency. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Autoignition temperature: comprehensive data analysis and predictive models

ABSTRACT

Here we report a new predictive model for autoignition temperature (AIT), an important physical parameter widely used to assess potential safety hazards of combustible materials. Available structure-AIT data extracted from different sources were critically analysed. Support vector regression (SVR) models on different data subsets were built in order to identify a reliable compound set on which a realistic model could be built. This led to a selection of the dataset containing 875 compounds annotated with AIT values. The thereupon-based SVR model performs reasonably well in cross-validation with the determination coefficient r ² = 0.77 and mean absolute error MAE = 37.8°C. External validation on 20 industrial compounds missing in the training set confirmed its good predictive power (MAE = 28.7°C).     

基于岭回归和SVM的高维特征选择与肽QSAR建模

岭回归估计权重绝对值在一定程度上体现了对应特征作用大小, 据此发展了基于岭回归(RR)和支持向量机(SVM)的高维特征选择算法. 对苦味二肽(BTT)和细胞毒性T淋巴细胞(CTL)表位9 肽两个肽体系, 以氨基酸的531 个物理化学性质参数直接表征肽结构, 各获得1062、4779 个初始特征; 对训练集, 初始特征以岭回归排序后序贯引入, 当SVM留一法交叉测试(LOOCV)的均方误差(MSE)显著上扬时终止, 最后以多轮末尾淘汰进一步精筛, 分别获得7、18个物理化学意义明确的保留特征. 基于保留特征与支持向量回归(SVR), 对训练集建立定量构效关系(QSAR)模型, 预测独立测试集, 其拟合精度、留一法交叉测试精度、独立预测精度均优于现有文献报道结果. 新方法运行速度快, 选取的特征物理化学意义明确, 解释性强, 在肽、蛋白质定量构效关系建模等高维数据回归预测领域有较广泛应用前景.     

脂质体电动色谱用于预测皮肤渗透性的定量保留活性关系的建立

脂质体电动色谱 （Liposome electrokinetic chromatography,LEKC）是一种简单快速的评价药物与生物膜相互作用的方法。本文建立了脂质体电动色谱作为高通量筛选皮肤渗透性的体外分析方法。将脂质体电动色谱中保留因子的对数值（log k）作为自变量建立了定量保留活性关系式。采用SPSS分析软件对于16种结构不同的化合物进行分析,结果表明log k与皮肤渗透性常数线性相关性良好( R²=0.886)。采用交互验证评价了该模型的预测能力。在定量保留活性关系中的一个变量和传统定量构效关系中的三个变量可解释的能力( R² =0.704)相似。文中建立的定量保留活性关系模型对于新化合物早期的筛选可提供一种有效快捷的方法。