Dependence structure of conditional Archimedean copulas

In this article, copulas associated to multivariate conditional distributions in an Archimedean model are characterized. It is shown that this popular class of dependence structures is closed under the operation of conditioning, but that the associated conditional copula has a different analytical form in general. It is also demonstrated that the extremal copula for conditional Archimedean distributions is no longer the Fréchet upper bound, but rather a member of the Clayton family. Properties of these conditional distributions as well as conditional versions of tail dependence indices are also considered.     

Moment Estimation for Multivariate Extreme Value Distribution in a Nested Logistic Model

This paper considers multivariate extreme value distribution in a nested logistic model. The dependence structure for this model is discussed. We find a useful transformation that transformed variables possess the mixed independence. Thus, the explicit algebraic formulae for a characteristic function and moments may be given. We use the method of moments to derive estimators of the dependence parameters and investigate the properties of these estimators in large samples via asymptotic theory and in finite samples via computer simulation. We also compare moment estimation with a maximum likelihood estimation in finite sample sizes. The results indicate that moment estimation is good for all practical purposes.     

Homotopic Fréchet distance between curves or, walking your dog in the woods in polynomial time

The Fréchet distance between two curves in the plane is the minimum length of a leash that allows a dog and its owner to walk along their respective curves, from one end to the other, without backtracking. We propose a natural extension of Fréchet distance to more general metric spaces, which requires the leash itself to move continuously over time. For example, for curves in the punctured plane, the leash cannot pass through or jump over the obstacles (“trees”). We describe a polynomial-time algorithm to compute the homotopic Fréchet distance between two given polygonal curves in the plane minus a given set of polygonal obstacles.     

A class of multivariate copulas with bivariate Fréchet marginal copulas

In this paper, we present a class of multivariate copulas whose two-dimensional marginals belong to the family of bivariate Fréchet copulas. The coordinates of a random vector distributed as one of these copulas are conditionally independent. We prove that these multivariate copulas are uniquely determined by their two-dimensional marginal copulas. Some other properties for these multivariate copulas are discussed as well. Two applications of these copulas in actuarial science are given.     

On some measures of noncompactness in the Fréchet spaces of continuous functions

In this paper, the Fréchet spaces of continuous functions defined on a bounded or an unbounded interval, with values in the space of all real sequences, are considered. For those Fréchet spaces new regular measures of noncompactness are constructed and several properties of these measures are established. The results obtained are further applied to infinite systems of functional-integral equations.     

The tail probability of the product of dependent random variables from max-domains of attraction

In this article, we investigate the tail probability of the product of finitely many non-negative dependent random variables. They follow distributions from max-domains of attraction of extreme value distributions and their dependence is modeled via a multivariate Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern distribution. For each of the Fréchet, Gumbel and Weibull cases, we obtain an explicit asymptotic formula for the tail probability of the product. Our study extends a few known results in the literature.     

二元极值分布混合模型的矩估计

极值理论在各个领域得到了越来越多的关注和应用, 尤其是多元极值分布. 而矩估计是一种经典的参数估计方法, 计算简单且具有某些优良性, 本文给出边缘为标准指数分布的二元极值混合模型相关参数的矩估计及其渐近方差. 并将其与极大似然估计的渐近方差比较, 结果表明矩估计是一个较好的估计.     

On approximating max-stable processes and constructing extremal copula functions

There is an infinite number of parameters in the definition of multivariate maxima of moving maxima (M4) processes, which poses challenges in statistical applications where workable models are preferred. This paper establishes sufficient conditions under which an M4 process with infinite number of parameters may be approximated by an M4 process with finite number of parameters. In statistical inferences, the paper focuses on a family of sectional multivariate extreme value copula (SMEVC) functions which is derived from the joint distribution functions of M4 processes. A new non-standard parameter estimation procedure is introduced, which is based on order statistics of ratios of (transformed) marginal unit Fréchet random variables, and is shown via simulation to be more efficient than a semi-parametric estimation procedure. In real data analysis, empirical results show that SMEVCs are more flexible for modeling various dependence structures, and perform better than the widely used Gumbel-Hougaard copulas.     

Every non-normable non-archimedean Köthe space has a quotient without the bounded approximation property

It is proved that any non-archimedean non-normable Fréchet space with a Schauder basis and a continuous norm has a quotient without the bounded approximation property. It follows that any infinite-dimensional non-archimedean Fréchet space, which is not isomorphic to any of the following spaces: , has a quotient without a Schauder basis. Clearly, any quotient of c₀ and has a Schauder basis. It is shown a similar result for and     

Efficient estimation of stable Lévy process with symmetric jumps

Efficient estimation of a non-Gaussian stable Lévy process with drift and symmetric jumps observed at high frequency is considered. For this statistical experiment, the local asymptotic normality of the likelihood is proved with a non-singular Fisher information matrix through the use of a non-diagonal norming matrix. The asymptotic normality and efficiency of a sequence of roots of the associated likelihood equation are shown as well. Moreover, we show that a simple preliminary method of moments can be used as an initial estimator of a scoring procedure, thereby conveniently enabling us to bypass numerically demanding likelihood optimization. Our simulation results show that the one-step estimator can exhibit quite similar finite-sample performance as the maximum likelihood estimator.     

Historique de la notion de compacite

The Bolzano-Weierstrass and Borel-Lebesgue properties of sets constitute the fundamental ideas that led to the notion of compactness. The link between these ideas appeared for the first time to Fréchet, who formulated the first definition of a compact set. The notion developed simultaneously with that of a complete set thanks mainly to the contributions made by Hausdorff and Alexandroff. Later Moore-Smith convergence and filters enabled simplification of the language.La propriété de Bolzano-Weierstrass et la propriété de Borel-Lebesgue constituent les idées fondamentales qui ont conduit à l'élaboration de la notion de compacité. Le lien entre ces idées est apparu pour la première fois à Fréchet qui a formulé la première définition d'un ensemble compact. Cette notion s'est affinée en même temps que celle d'ensemble complet grâce à Hausdorff et Alexandroff notamment. La convergence à la Moore-Smith et la notion de filtre ont permis ultérieurement de simplifier le langage.     

Non-Parametric Estimation of the Limit Dependence Function of Multivariate Extremes

This paper presents a new estimation procedure for the limit distribution of the maximum of a multivariate random sample. This procedure relies on a new and simple relationship between the copula of the underlying multivariate distribution function and the dependence function of its maximum attractor. The obtained characterization is then used to define a class of kernel-based estimates for the dependence function of the maximum attractor. The consistency and the asymptotic distribution of these estimates are considered.     

Parametric estimation of a bivariate stable Lévy process

We propose a parametric model for a bivariate stable Lévy process based on a Lévy copula as a dependence model. We estimate the parameters of the full bivariate model by maximum likelihood estimation. As an observation scheme we assume that we observe all jumps larger than some ε>0 and base our statistical analysis on the resulting compound Poisson process. We derive the Fisher information matrix and prove asymptotic normality of all estimates when the truncation point ε→0. A simulation study investigates the loss of efficiency because of the truncation.     

Multivariate approximations to portfolio return distribution

This article proposes a three-step procedure to estimate portfolio return distributions under the multivariate Gram–Charlier (MGC) distribution. The method combines quasi maximum likelihood (QML) estimation for conditional means and variances and the method of moments (MM) estimation for the rest of the density parameters, including the correlation coefficients. The procedure involves consistent estimates even under density misspecification and solves the so-called ‘curse of dimensionality’ of multivariate modelling. Furthermore, the use of a MGC distribution represents a flexible and general approximation to the true distribution of portfolio returns and accounts for all its empirical regularities. An application of such procedure is performed for a portfolio composed of three European indices as an illustration. The MM estimation of the MGC (MGC-MM) is compared with the traditional maximum likelihood of both the MGC and multivariate Student’s t (benchmark) densities. A simulation on Value-at-Risk (VaR) performance for an equally weighted portfolio at 1 and 5 % confidence indicates that the MGC-MM method provides reasonable approximations to the true empirical VaR. Therefore, the procedure seems to be a useful tool for risk managers and practitioners.     

An efficient Fréchet differentiable high breakdown multivariate location and dispersion estimator

A good robust functional should, if possible, be efficient at the model, smooth, and have a high breakdown point. M-estimators can be made efficient and Fréchet differentiable by choosing appropriate ψ-functions but they have a breakdown point of at most 1/(p + 1) in p dimensions. On the other hand, the local smoothness of known high breakdown functionals has not been investigated. It is known that Rousseeuw's minimum volume ellipsoid estimator is not differentiable and that S-estimators based on smooth functions force a trade-off between efficiency and breakdown point. However, by using a two-step M-estimator based on the minimum volume ellipsoid we show that it is possible to obtain a highly efficient, Fréchet differentiable estimator whilst still retaining the breakdown point. This result is extended to smooth S-estimators.     

On the estimation of parameters for linear stochastic differential equations

The estimation of arbitrary number of parameters in linear stochastic differential equation (SDE) is investigated. The local asymptotic normality (LAN) of families of distributions corresponding to this SDE is established and the asymptotic efficiency of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is obtained for the wide class of loss functions with polynomial majorants. As an example a single-degree of freedom mechanical system is considered. The results generalize [8], where all elements of the drift matrix are estimated and the asymptotic efficiency is proved only for the bounded loss functions. Received: 12 March 1997 / Revised version: 22 June 1998     

Estimating the parameters of Weibull distribution and the acceleration factor from hybrid partially accelerated life test

This article considers the estimation of parameters of Weibull distribution based on hybrid censored data. The parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood method under step-stress partially accelerated test model. The maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) of the unknown parameters are obtained by Newton–Raphson algorithm. Also, the approximate Fisher information matrix is obtained for constructing asymptotic confidence bounds for the model parameters. The biases and mean square errors of the maximum likelihood estimators are computed to assess their performances through a Monte Carlo simulation study.     

Fréchet differentiability for a damped sine-Gordon equation

We consider a damped sine-Gordon equation with a variable diffusion coefficient. The goal is to derive necessary conditions for the optimal set of parameters minimizing the objective function J. First, we show that the solution map is continuous under a weak assumption on the topology of the admissible set P. Then the solution map is shown to be weakly Gâteux differentiable on P, implying the Gâteux differentiability of the objective function. Finally we show the Fréchet differentiability of J. The optimal set of parameters is shown to satisfy a bang–bang control law.     

Comparison of three semiparametric methods for estimating dependence parameters in copula models

Three semiparametric methods for estimating dependence parameters in copula models are compared, namely maximum pseudo-likelihood estimation and the two method-of-moment approaches based on the inversion of Spearman’s rho and Kendall’s tau. For each of these three asymptotically normal estimators, an estimator of their asymptotic (co)variance is stated in three different situations, namely the bivariate one-parameter case, the multivariate one-parameter case and the multivariate multiparameter case. An extensive Monte Carlo study is carried out to compare the finite-sample performance of the three estimators under consideration in these three situations. In the one-parameter case, it involves up to six bivariate and four-variate copula families, and up to five levels of dependence. In the multiparameter case, attention is restricted to trivariate and four-variate normal and t copulas. The maximum pseudo-likelihood estimator appears as the best choice in terms of mean square error in all situations except for small and weakly dependent samples. It is followed by the method-of-moment estimator based on Kendall’s tau, which overall appears to be significantly better than its analogue based on Spearman’s rho. The simulation results are complemented by asymptotic relative efficiency calculations. The numerical computation of Spearman’s rho, Kendall’s tau and their derivatives in the case of copula families for which explicit expressions are not available is also investigated.     

Estimation and inference for dependence in multivariate data

In this paper, a new measure of dependence is proposed. Our approach is based on transforming univariate data to the space where the marginal distributions are normally distributed and then, using the inverse transformation to obtain the distribution function in the original space. The pseudo-maximum likelihood method and the two-stage maximum likelihood approach are used to estimate the unknown parameters. It is shown that the estimated parameters are asymptotical normally distributed in both cases. Inference procedures for testing the independence are also studied.