A simple formula to find the closest consistent matrix to a reciprocal matrix

Achieving consistency in pair-wise comparisons between decision elements given by experts or stakeholders is of paramount importance in decision-making based on the AHP methodology. Several alternatives to improve consistency have been proposed in the literature. The linearization method (Benítez et al., 2011 [10]), derives a consistent matrix based on an original matrix of comparisons through a suitable orthogonal projection expressed in terms of a Fourier-like expansion. We propose a formula that provides in a very simple manner the consistent matrix closest to a reciprocal (inconsistent) matrix. In addition, this formula is computationally efficient since it only uses sums to perform the calculations. A corollary of the main result shows that the normalized vector of the vector, whose components are the geometric means of the rows of a comparison matrix, gives the priority vector only for consistent matrices.     

A heuristic approach for deriving the priority vector in AHP

This paper proposes an approach for deriving the priority vector from an inconsistent pair-wise comparison matrix through the nearest consistent matrix and experts judgments, which enables balancing the consistency and experts judgments. The developed algorithm for achieving a nearest consistent matrix is based on a logarithmic transformation of the pair-wise comparison matrix, and follows an iterative feedback process that identifies an acceptable level of consistency while complying with experts preferences. Three numerical examples are examined to illustrate applications and advantages of the developed approach.     

Deriving crisp and consistent priorities for fuzzy AHP-based multicriteria systems using non-linear constrained optimization

Fuzzy optimization models are used to derive crisp weights (priority vectors) for the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP) based multicriteria decision making systems. These optimization models deal with the imprecise judgements of decision makers by formulating the optimization problem as the system of constrained non linear equations. Firstly, a Genetic Algorithm based heuristic solution for this optimization problem is implemented in this paper. It has been found that the crisp weights derived from this solution for fuzzy-AHP system, sometimes lead to less consistent or inconsistent solutions. To deal with this problem, we have proposed a consistency based constraint for the optimization models. A decision maker can set the consistency threshold value and if the solution exists for that threshold value then crisp weights can be derived, otherwise it can be concluded that the fuzzy comparison matrix for AHP is not consistent for the given threshold. Three examples are considered to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. Results with the proposed constraint based fuzzy optimization model are more consistent than the existing optimization models.     

Achieving matrix consistency in AHP through linearization

Matrices used in the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) compile expert knowledge as pairwise comparisons among various criteria and alternatives in decision-making problems. Many items are usually considered in the same comparison process and so judgment is not completely consistent – and sometimes the level of consistency may be unacceptable. Different methods have been used in the literature to achieve consistency for an inconsistent matrix. In this paper we use a linearization technique that provides the closest consistent matrix to a given inconsistent matrix using orthogonal projection in a linear space. As a result, consistency can be achieved in a closed form. This is simpler and cheaper than for methods relying on optimisation, which are iterative by nature. We apply the process to a real-world decision-making problem in an important industrial context, namely, management of water supply systems regarding leakage policies – an aspect of water management to which great sums of money are devoted every year worldwide.     

基于基本回路修正的AHP一致性调整方法研究

为解决AHP一致性问题,提出一种基于基本回路修正的调整方法,能够同时解决数值不一致和逻辑不一致问题,同时保证对原始信息的修改量最小。数值不一致和逻辑不一致均由决策者的不准确判断引起,其中数值不一致可以通过降低一致性比率(CR)值进行改善,而逻辑不一致只有将判断矩阵中所有三阶回路去除才能得到解决。因此,通过对n阶判断矩阵进行基本矩阵分解,得到C³_n个3阶的基本矩阵,其中存在三阶回路的称为基本回路,从而将判断矩阵的一致性修正问题转化为基本回路的一致性修正问题。通过对基本回路的一致性比较,提出了两种确定最不一致元素的方法,即CR和最大法和优化法,并设计了优化模型对最不一致元素进行修正。最后,通过算例分析验证了本文方法的可行性,与已有方法的对比结论证明了本文方法更为有效。     

Enhancing data consistency in decision matrix: Adapting Hadamard model to mitigate judgment contradiction

Cardinal and ordinal inconsistencies are important and popular research topics in the study of decision making with pair-wise comparison matrices (PCMs). Few of the currently-employed tactics are capable of simultaneously dealing with both cardinal and ordinal inconsistency issues in one model, and most are heavily dependent on the method chosen for weight (priorities) derivation or the obtained closest matrix by optimization method that may change many of the original values. In this paper, we propose a Hadamard product induced bias matrix model, which only requires the use of the data in the original matrix to identify and adjust the cardinally inconsistent element(s) in a PCM. Through graph theory and numerical examples, we show that the adapted Hadamard model is effective in identifying and eliminating the ordinal inconsistencies. Also, for the most inconsistent element identified in the matrix, we develop innovative methods to improve the consistency of a PCM. The proposed model is only dependent on the original matrix, is independent of the methods chosen to derive the priority vectors, and preserves most of the original information in matrix A since only the most inconsistent element(s) need(s) to be modified. Our method is much easier to implement than any of the existing models, and the values it recommends for replacement outperform those derived from the literature. It significantly enhances matrix consistency and improves the reliability of PCM decision making.     

Estimation of missing judgments in AHP pairwise matrices using a neural network-based model

Selecting relevant features to make a decision and expressing the relationships between these features is not a simple task. The decision maker must precisely define the alternatives and criteria which are more important for the decision making process. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) uses hierarchical structures to facilitate this process. The comparison is realized using pairwise matrices, which are filled in according to the decision maker judgments. Subsequently, matrix consistency is tested and priorities are obtained by calculating the matrix principal eigenvector. Given an incomplete pairwise matrix, two procedures must be performed: first, it must be completed with suitable values for the missing entries and, second, the matrix must be improved until a satisfactory level of consistency is reached. Several methods are used to fill in missing entries for incomplete pairwise matrices with correct comparison values. Additionally, once pairwise matrices are complete and if comparison judgments between pairs are not consistent, some methods must be used to improve the matrix consistency and, therefore, to obtain coherent results. In this paper a model based on the Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) neural network is presented. Given an AHP pairwise matrix, this model is capable of completing missing values and improving the matrix consistency at the same time.     

A new data envelopment analysis method for priority determination and group decision making in the analytic hierarchy process

The DEAHP method for weight deviation and aggregation in the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) has been found flawed and sometimes produces counterintuitive priority vectors for inconsistent pairwise comparison matrices, which makes its application very restrictive. This paper proposes a new data envelopment analysis (DEA) method for priority determination in the AHP and extends it to the group AHP situation. In this new DEA methodology, two specially constructed DEA models that differ from the DEAHP model are used to derive the best local priorities from a pairwise comparison matrix or a group of pairwise comparison matrices no matter whether they are perfectly consistent or inconsistent. The new DEA method produces true weights for perfectly consistent pairwise comparison matrices and the best local priorities that are logical and consistent with decision makers (DMs)’ subjective judgments for inconsistent pairwise comparison matrices. In hierarchical structures, the new DEA method utilizes the simple additive weighting (SAW) method for aggregation of the best local priorities without the need of normalization. Numerical examples are examined throughout the paper to show the advantages of the new DEA methodology and its potential applications in both the AHP and group decision making.     

An improved statistical approach for consistency test in AHP

The pair-wise comparison matrix (PCM) is widely used in multi-criteria decision making methods. If the PCM is inconsistent, the resulting priority vector is not reliable. Hence, it is necessary to measure the level of the inconsistency of the PCM. There are two approaches for testing the consistency of the PCM: deterministic approaches and statistical or stochastic approaches. In this paper, an improved statistical approach to test the consistency of the PCM is proposed, which combines hypothesis test and maximum likelihood estimation. The proposed statistical approach is flexible and reliable because it sets a suitable significance level according to different situations. Two numerical examples are introduced to illustrate the proposed statistical approach.     

A cosine maximization method for the priority vector derivation in AHP

The derivation of a priority vector from a pair-wise comparison matrix (PCM) is an important issue in the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The existing methods for the priority vector derivation from PCM include eigenvector method (EV), weighted least squares method (WLS), additive normalization method (AN), logarithmic least squares method (LLS), etc. The derived priority vector should be as similar to each column vector of the PCM as possible if a pair-wise comparison matrix (PCM) is not perfectly consistent. Therefore, a cosine maximization method (CM) based on similarity measure is proposed, which maximizes the sum of the cosine of the angle between the priority vector and each column vector of a PCM. An optimization model for the CM is proposed to derive the reliable priority vector. Using three numerical examples, the CM is compared with the other prioritization methods based on two performance evaluation criteria: Euclidean distance and minimum violation. The results show that the CM is flexible and efficient.     

An intelligent decomposition of pairwise comparison matrices for large-scale decisions

A Pairwise Comparison Matrix (PCM) has been used to compute for relative priorities of elements and are integral components in widely applied decision making tools: the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and its generalized form, the Analytic Network Process (ANP). However, PCMs suffer from several issues limiting their applications to large-scale decision problems. These limitations can be attributed to the curse of dimensionality, that is, a large number of pairwise comparisons need to be elicited from a decision maker. This issue results to inconsistent preferences due to the limited cognitive powers of decision makers. To address these limitations, this research proposes a PCM decomposition methodology that reduces the elicited pairwise comparisons. A binary integer program is proposed to intelligently decompose a PCM into several smaller subsets using interdependence scores among elements. Since the subsets are disjoint, the most independent pivot element is identified to connect all subsets to derive the global weights of the elements from the original PCM. As a result, the number of pairwise comparison is reduced and consistency is of the comparisons is improved. The proposed decomposition methodology is applied to both AHP and ANP to demonstrate its advantages.     

An integrated approach for deriving priorities in analytic network process

A multiple objective programming approach for the analytic network process (ANP) is proposed to obtain all local priorities for crisp or interval judgments at one time, even in an inconsistent situation. The weakness of the ANP and fuzzy ANP (FANP) is that the complexity of generating priorities is equal to the number of comparison matrices. In the proposed approach, all sets of crisp priorities for each pairwise comparison matrix can be obtained directly. Moreover, from the outcomes of three examples, the power to reach a limiting supermatrix is less than or equal to the power of the FANP. Thus, the proposed approach can be regarded as an efficient alternative of the fuzzy ANP.     

模糊判断矩阵排序向量的确定方法研究

首先给出模糊判断矩阵的两种一致性的定义。然后分析现有确定模糊判断矩阵排序向量的方法的特点及存在的问题，在此基础上，系统研究确定模糊判断矩阵排序向量的两类方法，第一类方法是先将模糊判断矩阵转化为AHP判断矩阵，然后将后者的排序向量作为前者的排序向量；另一类方法是直接由一致性或具有满意一致性的模糊判断矩阵计算排序向量。最后用算例说明所提出方法的应用。     

Analysis of compatibility between interdependent matrices in ANP

Analytic network process (ANP) addresses multi-attribute decision-making where attributes exhibit dependencies. A principal characteristic of such problems is that pairwise comparisons are needed for attributes that have interdependencies. We propose that before such comparison matrices are used—in addition to a test that assesses the consistency of a pairwise comparison matrix—a test must also be conducted to assess ‘consistency’ across interdependent matrices. We call such a cross-matrix consistency test as a compatibility test. In this paper, we design a compatibility test for interdependent matrices between two clusters of attributes. We motivate our exposition by addressing compatibility in Sinarchy, a special form of ANP where interdependency exists between the last and next-to-last level. The developed compatibility test is applicable to any pair of interdependent matrices that are a part of an ANP.     

Fuzzified AHP in the evaluation of scientific monographs

Fuzzification of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is of great interest to researchers since it is a frequently used method for coping with complex decision making problems. There have been many attempts to fuzzify the AHP. We focus particularly on the construction of fuzzy pairwise comparison matrices and on obtaining fuzzy weights of objects from them subsequently. We review the fuzzification of the geometric mean method for obtaining fuzzy weights of objects from fuzzy pairwise comparison matrices. We illustrate here the usefulness of the fuzzified AHP on a real-life problem of the evaluation of quality of scientific monographs in university environment. The benefits of the presented evaluation methodology and its suitability for quality assessment of R&D results in general are discussed. When the task of quality assessment in R&D is considered, an important role is played by peer-review evaluation. Evaluations provided by experts in the peer-review process have a high level of subjectivity and can be expected in a linguistic form. New decision-support methods (or adaptations of classic methods) well suited to deal with such inputs, to capture the consistency of experts’ preferences and to restrict the subjectivity to an acceptable level are necessary. A new consistency condition is therefore defined here to be used for expertly defined fuzzy pairwise comparison matrices.     

Interval cross efficiency for fully ranking decision making units using DEA/AHP approach

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is a popular technique for measuring the relative efficiency of a set of decision making units (DMUs). Fully ranking DMUs is a traditional and important topic in DEA. In various types of ranking methods, cross efficiency method receives much attention from researchers because it evaluates DMUs by using self and peer evaluation. However, cross efficiency score is usual nonuniqueness. This paper combines the DEA and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to fully rank the DMUs that considers all possible cross efficiencies of a DMU with respect to all the other DMUs. We firstly measure the interval cross efficiency of each DMU. Based on the interval cross efficiency, relative efficiency pairwise comparison between each pair of DMUs is used to construct interval multiplicative preference relations (IMPRs). To obtain the consistency ranking order, a method to derive consistent IMPRs is developed. After that, the full ranking order of DMUs from completely consistent IMPRs is derived. It is worth noting that our DEA/AHP approach not only avoids overestimation of DMUs’ efficiency by only self-evaluation, but also eliminates the subjectivity of pairwise comparison between DMUs in AHP. Finally, a real example is offered to illustrate the feasibility and practicality of the proposed procedure.     

A Goal Programming Method for Generating Priority Vectors

The generation of priority vectors from pairwise comparison information is an integral part of the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Traditionally, either the right eigenvector method or the logarithmic least squares method have been used. In this paper, a goal programming method (GPM) is presented that has, as its objective, the generation of the priority vector whose associated comparison values are, on average, the closest to the pairwise comparison information provided by the evaluator. The GPM possesses the properties of correctness in the consistent case, comparison order invariance, smoothness, and power invariance. Unlike other methods, it also possesses the additional property that the presence of a single outlier cannot prevent the identification of the correct priority vector. The GPM also has a pair of naturally meaningful consistency indicators that offer the opportunity for empowering the decision maker. The GPM is thus an attractive alternative to other proposed methods.     

AHP方法一致性检验的新标准

在层次分析法中判断矩阵是否具有满意的一致性是一个重要的问题.对一致性差的判断矩阵,首先利用F-范数定义了s_k,然后讨论了s_k的单调性,从而随着对判断矩阵元素的调整,对判断矩阵一致性度量给出一个新的参考标准.     

A new approach for weight derivation using data envelopment analysis in the analytic hierarchy process

Recently, some researches have been carried out in the context of using data envelopment analysis (DEA) models to generate local weights of alternatives from pairwise comparison matrices used in the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). One of these models is the DEAHP. The main drawback of the DEAHP is that it generates counter-intuitive priority vectors for inconsistent pairwise comparison matrices. To overcome the drawbacks of the DEAHP, this paper proposes a new procedure entitled Revised DEAHP, and it will be shown that this procedure generates logical weights that are consistent with the decision maker's judgements and is sensitive to changes in data of the pairwise comparison matrices. Through a numerical example, it will be shown that the Revised DEAHP not only produces correct weights for inconsistent matrices but also does not suffer from rank reversal when an irrelevant alternative is added or removed.     

一种基于决策矩阵的DST-AHP多属性决策方法

针对层次分析法决策时存在两两判断、一致性检验次数过多和判断矩阵残缺性等问题,本文提出了一种基于决策矩阵的DST-AHP多属性决策方法。该方法结合决策矩阵的特征值,构建DST-AHP方法层次结构模型和判断矩阵,并根据判断矩阵定义不同属性下各焦元的基本概率分配函数;然后利用Dempster合成法则对基本概率分配函数值进行合成,依据合成后值对方案进行排序。最后对AHP和DST-AHP两种方法进行比较分析,说明该方法的有效性。