基于收益管理和仿真的第三方仓储资源分配

针对不确定市场需求条件下第三方仓储资源的能力规划与分配问题,构建随机数学规划模型,理论分析证明了最优资源分配量的存在性,并指出最优资源分配量是单位资源成本的递减函数、单位资源收益和单位损失成本的递增函数。鉴于解析求解的复杂性,基于收益管理思想,结合离散事件仿真技术和响应曲面法,提出一种新的分析求解框架:收益管理用于细分顾客、构建资源分配策略,仿真模型刻画系统随机特性并评估系统绩效指标,响应曲面法则优化分配策略并探寻绩效改进方向。案例研究和仿真实验结果显示,根据顾客类别分配仓储能力的策略优于传统的先到先服务策略,收益管理、响应曲面法与仿真的综合集成,能够提高系统收益,从而使本文所提方法体系得到了有效验证。     

Two-stage workforce planning under demand fluctuations and uncertainty

We address a multi-category workforce planning problem for functional areas located at different service centres, each having office-space and recruitment capacity constraints, and facing fluctuating and uncertain workforce demand. A deterministic model is initially developed to deal with workforce fluctuations based on an expected demand profile over the horizon. To hedge against the demand uncertainty, we also propose a two-stage stochastic program, in which the first stage makes personnel recruiting and allocation decisions, while the second stage reassigns workforce demand among all units. A Benders’ decomposition-based algorithm is designed to solve this two-stage stochastic mixed-integer program. Computational results based on some practical numerical experiments are presented to provide insights on applying the deterministic versus the stochastic programming approach, and to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed algorithm as compared with directly solving the model using its deterministic equivalent.     

Re-solving stochastic programming models for airline revenue management

We study some mathematical programming formulations for the origin-destination model in airline revenue management. In particular, we focus on the traditional probabilistic model proposed in the literature. The approach we study consists of solving a sequence of two-stage stochastic programs with simple recourse, which can be viewed as an approximation to a multi-stage stochastic programming formulation to the seat allocation problem. Our theoretical results show that the proposed approximation is robust, in the sense that solving more successive two-stage programs can never worsen the expected revenue obtained with the corresponding allocation policy. Although intuitive, such a property is known not to hold for the traditional deterministic linear programming model found in the literature. We also show that this property does not hold for some bid-price policies. In addition, we propose a heuristic method to choose the re-solving points, rather than re-solving at equally-spaced times as customary. Numerical results are presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.     

An optimization based approach for deployment of roadway incident response vehicles with reliability constraints

In recent years transportation agencies have introduced patrol based response programs to remove roadway incidents rapidly. With the evolution of technology incident detection and notification from remote traffic operation centers is possible and patrols to detect incidents are not necessary. Instead, the response units can be placed at various depots in urban areas and dispatched to incident sites upon notification. In this paper, we propose a reliability based mixed integer programming model to find best locations of incidence response depots and assign response vehicles to these depots so that incidents can be cleared efficiently at a minimum cost. The approach is unique as it considers fixed and variable costs of vehicles and depots, occurrences of major and minor incidents, and reliability of response service in the same model. Numerical results are generated for an example problem and sensitivity analysis is conducted to explore the relationships between parameters of the problem.     

Cost optimal allocation of rail passenger lines

We consider the problem of cost optimal railway line allocation for passenger trains for the Dutch railway system. At present, the allocation of passenger lines by Dutch Railways is based on maximizing the number of direct travelers. This paper develops an alternative approach that takes operating costs into account. A mathematical programming model is developed which minimizes the operating costs subject to service constraints and capacity requirements. The model optimizes on lines, line types, routes, frequencies and train lengths. First, the line allocation model is formulated as an integer nonlinear programming model. This model is transformed into an integer linear programming model with binary decision variables. An algorithm is presented which solves the problem to optimality. The algorithm is based upon constraint satisfaction and a Branch and Bound procedure. The algorithm is applied to a subnetwork of the Dutch railway system for which it shows a substantial cost reduction. Further application and extension seem promising.     

A dynamic multi-objective location-allocation model for search and rescue assets

This paper presents a dynamic multi-objective mixed integer linear programming model to optimize the location and allocation of search and rescue (SAR) boats and helicopters to enhance the performance of maritime SAR missions. Our model incorporates simulated incident scenarios to account for demand uncertainty and allows relocation of vessels seasonally. We define three objectives as responding to incidents within a critical time, generating a balanced workload distribution among vessels of various types, and minimizing costs associated with operations and vessel relocations. Implementing a goal programming approach, we solve the problem for various objective function term weights and compare the performance of each solution with respect to 10 different metrics. Using historical incident datasets for the Aegean Sea, we show that the proposed model and solution approach can significantly improve the SAR performance and provide decision support for planners in developing effective and efficient resource location-allocation schemes.     

Multi-product production planning: A goal programming approach

Cost minimization multi-product production problems with static production resource usage and internal product flow requirements have been solved by linear programming (LP) with input/output analysis. If the problem is complicated by interval resource estimates, interval linear programming (ILP) can be used. The solution of realistic problems by the above method is cumbersome. This paper suggests that linear goal programming (LGP) can be used to model a multi-product production system. LGP's unique modeling capabilities are used to solve a production planning problem with variable resource parameters. Input/output analysis is used to determine the technological coefficients for the goal constraints and is also used to derive an information sub-model that is used to reduce the number of variable resource goal constraints. Preliminary findings suggest that the LGP approach is more cost-efficient (in terms of CPU time) and in addition provides valuable information for aggregate planning.     

An application of Lagrangian relaxation to a capacity planning problem under uncertainty

A supply chain network-planning problem is presented as a two-stage resource allocation model with 0-1 discrete variables. In contrast to the deterministic mathematical programming approach, we use scenarios, to represent the uncertainties in demand. This formulation leads to a very large scale mixed integer-programming problem which is intractable. We apply Lagrangian relaxation and its corresponding decomposition of the initial problem in a novel way, whereby the Lagrangian relaxation is reinterpreted as a column generator and the integer feasible solutions are used to approximate the given problem. This approach addresses two closely related problems of scenario analysis and two-stage stochastic programs. Computational solutions for large data instances of these problems are carried out successfully and their solutions analysed and reported. The model and the solution system have been applied to study supply chain capacity investment and planning.     

Probabilistic Networks and R & D Portfolio Selection

Mathematical programming methods have been suggested and used as an aid to R & D project portfolio selection. One of the main criticisms of the use of such models is that the stochastic nature of the problem has been largely ignored. This paper presents a method which takes into account the stochastic nature of resource requirements and project benefits, using a combination of probabilistic networks, simulation and mathematical programming. A case study based on data from an industrial R & D laboratory is presented and compared with the use of expected value methods. The results of the study indicate that in this particular case the deterministic linear programming solution is robust.     

Capital rationing problems under uncertainty and risk

Capital rationing is a major problem in managerial decision making. The classical mathematical formulation of the problem relies on a multi-dimensional knapsack model with known input parameters. Since capital rationing is carried out in conditions where uncertainty is the rule rather than the exception, the hypothesis of deterministic data limits the applicability of deterministic formulations in real settings. This paper proposes a stochastic version of the capital rationing problem which explicitly accounts for uncertainty. In particular, a mathematical formulation is provided in the framework of stochastic programming with joint probabilistic constraints and a novel solution approach is proposed. The basic model is also extended to include specific risk measures. Preliminary computational results are presented and discussed.     

A resource portfolio planning model using sampling-based stochastic programming and genetic algorithm

Resource portfolio planning optimization is crucial to high-tech manufacturing industries. One of the most important characteristics of such a problem is intensive investment and risk in demands. In this study, a nonlinear stochastic optimization model is developed to maximize the expected profit under demand uncertainty. For solution efficiency, a stochastic programming-based genetic algorithm (SPGA) is proposed to determine a profitable capacity planning and task allocation plan. The algorithm improves a conventional two-stage stochastic programming by integrating a genetic algorithm into a stochastic sampling procedure to solve this large-scale nonlinear stochastic optimization on a real-time basis. Finally, the tradeoff between profits and risks is evaluated under different settings of algorithmic and hedging parameters. Experimental results have shown that the proposed algorithm can solve the problem efficiently.     

概率约束最优化问题

概率约束最优化问题是随机规划的一类重要问题,在金融、管理和工程计划等领域有广泛的应用. 概率约束优化问题近年来受到了广泛的关注和重视,在应用建模、理论和方法等方面取得了不少重要的进展. 这里主要概述和总结处理概率约束的主要方法和思想,包括凸内逼近方法、情景逼近方法、DC方法和整数规划方法等,并对概率约束最优化的研究前景进行讨论.     

A Probabilistic Objective Function for R & D Portfolio Selection

This paper contributes to the literature on the problem of allocation of resources to a set of risky investments. Our objective is to develop the ideas in the context of a research and development laboratory. A mathematical programming approach to the resource allocation problem is taken, and various forms for an objective function under risk are discussed. A probabilistic objective function appropriate to R & D is isolated and tested on a small hypothetical example. Parametric linear programming is used to yield a near-optimum allocation.     

A Lagrangian relaxation approach for network inventory control of stochastic revenue management with perishable commodities

Airline seat inventory control is the allocation of seats in the same cabin to different fare classes such that the total revenue is maximized. Seat allocation can be modelled as dynamic stochastic programs, which are computationally intractable in network settings. Deterministic and probabilistic mathematical programming models are therefore used to approximate dynamic stochastic programs. The probabilistic model, which is the focus of this paper, has a nonlinear objective function, which makes the solution of large-scale practical instances with off-the-shelf solvers prohibitively time consuming. In this paper, we propose a Lagrangian relaxation (LR) method for solving the probabilistic model by exploring the fact that LR problems are decomposable. We show that the solutions of the LR problems admit a simple analytical expression which can be resolved directly. Both the booking limit policy and the bid-price policy can be implemented using this method. Numerical simulations demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

A multi-depot period vehicle routing problem arising in the utilities sector

This paper considers the resource planning problem of a utility company that provides preventive maintenance services to a set of customers using a fleet of depot-based mobile gangs. The problem is to determine the boundaries of the geographic areas served by each depot, the list of customers visited each day and the routes followed by the gangs. The objective is to provide improved customer service at minimum operating cost subject to constraints on frequency of visits, service time requirements, customer preferences for visiting on particular days and other routing constraints. The problem is solved as a Multi-Depot Period Vehicle Routing Problem (MDPVRP). The computational implementation of the complete planning model is described with reference to a pilot study and results are presented. The solution algorithm is used to construct cost-service trade-off curves for all depots so that management can evaluate the impact of different customer service levels on total routing costs.     

概率约束随机规划的一种近似方法及其它的有效解模式

根据最小风险的投资最优问题，我们给出了一个统一的概率约束随机规划模型。随后我们提出了求解这类概率约束随机规划的一种近似算法，并在一定的条件下证明了算法的收敛性。此外，提出了这种具有概率约束多目标随机规划问题的一种有效解模型。     

Optimal resource allocation in survey designs

Resource allocation is a relatively new research area in survey designs and has not been fully addressed in the literature. Recently, the declining participation rates and increasing survey costs have steered research interests towards resource planning. Survey organizations across the world are considering the development of new mathematical models in order to improve the quality of survey results while taking into account optimal resource planning. In this paper, we address the problem of resource allocation in survey designs and we discuss its impact on the quality of the survey results. We propose a novel method in which the optimal allocation of survey resources is determined such that the quality of survey results, i.e., the survey response rate, is maximized. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our method by extensive numerical experiments.     

Uncertainty and value of information when allocating resources within and between healthcare programmes

A two-stage stochastic mathematical programming formulation has been developed to optimally allocate resources within and between healthcare programmes when there is an exogenous budget and the parameters of the healthcare models are variable and uncertain. This formulation solves the optimal resource allocation problem and calculates the expected value of acquiring additional information to resolve the uncertainties within the allocation. It is shown that the proposed formulation has several advantages over the chance constrained and robust mathematical programming methods.     

Master physician scheduling problem

We study a real-world problem arising from the operations of a hospital service provider, which we term the master physician scheduling problem. It is a planning problem of assigning physicians’ full range of day-to-day duties (including surgery, clinics, scopes, calls, administration) to the defined time slots/shifts over a time horizon, incorporating a large number of constraints and complex physician preferences. The goals are to satisfy as many physicians’ preferences and duty requirements as possible while ensuring optimum usage of available resources. We propose mathematical programming models that represent different variants of this problem. The models were tested on a real case from the Surgery Department of a local government hospital, as well as on randomly generated problem instances. The computational results are reported together with analysis on the optimal solutions obtained. For large-scale instances that could not be solved by the exact method, we propose a heuristic algorithm to generate good solutions.     

Valid inequalities and restrictions for stochastic programming problems with first order stochastic dominance constraints

Stochastic dominance relations are well studied in statistics, decision theory and economics. Recently, there has been significant interest in introducing dominance relations into stochastic optimization problems as constraints. In the discrete case, stochastic optimization models involving second order stochastic dominance constraints can be solved by linear programming. However, problems involving first order stochastic dominance constraints are potentially hard due to the non-convexity of the associated feasible regions. In this paper we consider a mixed 0–1 linear programming formulation of a discrete first order constrained optimization model and present a relaxation based on second order constraints. We derive some valid inequalities and restrictions by employing the probabilistic structure of the problem. We also generate cuts that are valid inequalities for the disjunctive relaxations arising from the underlying combinatorial structure of the problem by applying the lift-and-project procedure. We describe three heuristic algorithms to construct feasible solutions, based on conditional second order constraints, variable fixing, and conditional value at risk. Finally, we present numerical results for several instances of a real world portfolio optimization problem. This research was supported by the NSF awards DMS-0603728 and DMI-0354678.