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EVALUATING THE WATER RESOURCE IMPACTS OF CLIMATIC WARMING IN COLD ALPINE REGIONS BY THE WATER BALANCE MODEL: MODELING THE URUMQI RIVER BASIN
作者姓名:赖祖铭  叶佰生
作者单位:Lanzhou Institute of Glaciology and Geocryology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Lanzhou 730000,PKC,Lanzhou Institute of Glaciology and Geocryology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Lanzhou 730000,PKC
基金项目:Part of the project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China, No. 9488007.
摘    要:In view of the tendency of global climatic warming, the water balance model is employed to estimate the runoff changes in the Urumqi River Basin, Xinjiang Region, China, under ten climate change scenarios, which are combinations of temperature increases by 2K and 4K with precipitation change of 0, ±10% and ±20%, respectively, as the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide increases. The results suggest that runoff changes mainly depend on the precipitation change in the glacier-free or less glacierized basins in cold alpine regions. Effect of temperature on runoff becomes marked gradually with the increase in precipitation. Runoff from glacierized areas, however, is much more sensitive to the temperature change.


EVALUATING THE WATER RESOURCE IMPACTS OF CLIMATIC WARMING IN COLD ALPINE REGIONS BY THE WATER BALANCE MODEL: MODELING THE URUMQI RIVER BASIN
LAI ZU-MING YE BAI-SHENG.EVALUATING THE WATER RESOURCE IMPACTS OF CLIMATIC WARMING IN COLD ALPINE REGIONS BY THE WATER BALANCE MODEL: MODELING THE URUMQI RIVER BASIN[J].Science in China(Chemistry),1991(11).
Authors:LAI ZU-MING YE BAI-SHENG
Abstract:
Keywords:cold alpine region  water balance  climatic change  water resource  runoff  
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