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Objective Bayesian probabilistic logic
Institution:1. Vattenfall BA Wind and Technical University of Denmark, Produktionstorvet 426 B DK-2800, Kgs Lyngby, Denmark;2. DTU Compute, Richard Petersens Plads, Technical University of Denmark, DK-2800 Kgs Lyngby, Denmark
Abstract:This paper develops connections between objective Bayesian epistemology—which holds that the strengths of an agent's beliefs should be representable by probabilities, should be calibrated with evidence of empirical probability, and should otherwise be equivocal—and probabilistic logic. After introducing objective Bayesian epistemology over propositional languages, the formalism is extended to handle predicate languages. A rather general probabilistic logic is formulated and then given a natural semantics in terms of objective Bayesian epistemology. The machinery of objective Bayesian nets and objective credal nets is introduced and this machinery is applied to provide a calculus for probabilistic logic that meshes with the objective Bayesian semantics.
Keywords:
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