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Investigating the change of causality in emerging property markets during the financial tsunami
Authors:Eddie CM Hui  Jia Chen
Institution:Department of Building and Real Estate, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong
Abstract:In this paper, we employ the multivariate CUSUM (cumulative sum) test for covariance structure as well as the renormalized partial directed coherence (PDC) method to capture the structural causality change of real estate stock indices of five emerging Asian countries and regions (i.e., Thailand, Malaysia, South Korea, PR China, and Taiwan). Meanwhile, we develop a method to make the comparison of renormalized PDC more intuitive and a set of criteria to measure the result. One of our findings indicates that the regional influence of the Chinese real estate stock market on the causality structure of the five markets has arisen under the effect of the financial tsunami.
Keywords:Financial crisis  Emerging real estate stock markets  Multivariate cumulate sum  Renormalized partial directed coherence
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