关于序贯检验的Bayes分析

本文将充分利用验前信息的Ｂａｙｅｓ方法与序贯检验相结合，推导出了Ｂａｙｅｓ序贯检验方法。文章从表面形式上的决策方案推导到实质上真正的决策方案；并对飞行器落点密集度进行了模拟计算的具体分析，最后得出结论，Ｂａｙｅｓ序贯检验方法对具有昂贵成本的产品试验和我国航天试验有较大的应用价值．

The Bayesian Sequential Testing Analysis

In this paper, the Bayesian sequential testing method is studied by consociating the Bayesian method with the sequential testing. The author deduce from the superficial formula to the really testing decision, simulate and calculate the accuracy of the fail point of vehicles in detail. Finally, the conclusion is given that the Bayesian sequential testing method is quite important and valuable to aerospace enterprise of our country or the product experiment with expensive cost.