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A note on transfer function model specification with noisy closed‐loop input data
Authors:Johannes Ledolter
Institution:1. Department of Management Sciences, Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA 52242, U.S.A.;2. Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria
Abstract:We assume that the input in a transfer function noise model is determined by a proportional‐integral‐derivative controller that is subject to noise. We show how such a noisy feedback in the input series affects the standard Box–Jenkins method of specifying the transfer function model. Our findings have important implications for the analyst who uses the traditional Box–Jenkins approach. The analyst will be led to estimate an incorrect transfer function model if feedback (exact or noisy) is present. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Keywords:cross‐covariance  feedback  proportional‐integral‐derivative control  time series modeling  transfer function model
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