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农业生产资料价格波动与农业经济发展关系的实证分析
引用本文:梁庆文,袁帅,缪柏其. 农业生产资料价格波动与农业经济发展关系的实证分析[J]. 运筹与管理, 2006, 15(2): 69-72
作者姓名:梁庆文  袁帅  缪柏其
作者单位:中国科学技术大学,管理学院,安徽,合肥,230026
基金项目:中国科学院资助项目;安徽省投入产出项目
摘    要:本文运用协整分析、线性回归、logistic回归等定量分析方法,采用1973~2003年的历史数据,对安徽省农业生产资料价格波动与农业总产值的影响关系进行了深入的实证分析,发现了两者之间存在的一些内在联系和制约关系,并给出了反映两者关系的预测模型。

关 键 词:协整分析  线性回归  lo西stic回归
文章编号:1007-3221(2006)02-0069-04
收稿时间:2005-09-20
修稿时间:2005-09-20

Empirical Analysis of Relationship between Agricultural Development and Price Fluctuation of Agricultural Means of Production
LIANG Qing-wen,YUAN Shuai,MIAO Bai-qi. Empirical Analysis of Relationship between Agricultural Development and Price Fluctuation of Agricultural Means of Production[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2006, 15(2): 69-72
Authors:LIANG Qing-wen  YUAN Shuai  MIAO Bai-qi
Affiliation:Management School, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China
Abstract:This paper investigates the relationship between agricultural development and price fluctuation of agricultural means of production using the quantitative analysis methods such as co-integration analysis, linear regression, logistic regression and the historical data from 1973 to 2003. We find some causal relationship between them, and get the prognosticate model.
Keywords:co-integration analysis   linear regression    logistic regression
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