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On Bayesian Adaptation
Authors:Subhashis Ghosal  Jüri Lember  Aad van der Vaart
Affiliation:(1) Department of Statistics, North Carolina State University, U.S.A.;(2) Eurandom, PO Box 51360, MB Eindhoven, The Netherlands;(3) Department of Mathematics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1081, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Abstract:We show that Bayes estimators of an unknown density can adapt to unknown smoothness of the density. We combine prior distributions on each element of a list of log spline density models of different levels of regularity with a prior on the regularity levels to obtain a prior on the union of the models in the list. If the true density of the observations belongs to the model with a given regularity, then the posterior distribution concentrates near this true density at the rate corresponding to this regularity.
Keywords:posterior distribution  rate of convergence  adaptation  sieves  splines  model selection
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