江苏省沿沪宁线城市信息产业的产业重心演变路径分析及预测

以江苏省沿沪宁线城市具有代表性的信息产业作为研究对象，利用近几年各个城市电子及通信设备制造业的全年总产值以及实现利润作为主要经济指标，研究了区域信息产业带重心的演变路径，通过坐标分解利用函数拟合重心的坐标变动，对重心移动的影响因素进行了实证分析，在研究的基础上，对该产业重心移动轨迹进行了进一步的预测计算，对于现阶段以及今后地区发展决策具有重要指导作用。

Analysis and Forecast on the Evolvement Track of Information Industry of the Cities along the Shanghai-Nanjing Line in Jiangsu Province

Taking the representative information industry of the cities long the Shanghai-Nanjing Line in Jiangsu Province as the research objects, and using the full-year gross output value and realized profit of the electronic and communication equipment manufacturing industries of each city in late years as the main economic indexes, this paper researches the evolvement track of the centre of regional information industry belt, and through the coordinates decomposition and function fitting the coordinate changes of the center, makes the empirical analysis on the factors influencing the movement of the centre, and based on this research, makes further prediction and calculation of the movement path of the industrial center, which possesses important guiding function on the regional development decision at the present stage and in the days to come.