Estimation of Time Varying Linear Systems

Based on kernel and wavelet estimators of the evolutionary spectrum and cross-spectrum we propose nonlinear wavelet estimators of the time varying coefficients of a linear system, whose input and output are locally stationary processes, in the sense of Dahlhaus (1997). We obtain large sample properties of these estimators, present some simulated examples and derive results on the L ₂-risk for the wavelet threshold estimators, assuming that the coefficients belong to some smoothness class. This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.