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Decision taking under pressure: Evidence on football manager dismissals in Argentina and their consequences
Authors:Ramón Flores  David Forrest  JD Tena
Institution:1. Department of Statistics, Universidad Carlos III, C/Madrid 126, 28903 Getafe (Madrid), Spain;2. Maxwell Building, University of Salford, Salford M5 4WT, UK;3. Department of Economics and Business, Universitá di Sassari, Via Torre Tonda, 34-07100 Sassari, Italy
Abstract:The paper focuses on dismissals of football managers and whether such decisions appear to contribute to organisational goals or else to be fruitless exercises in scapegoating. Its empirical setting is Argentina where incidence of sackings is more than one per season per club. It models 20 years of football match results and detects a tendency for a change of manager to be followed by deterioration in team performance, with adverse effects concentrated in results of matches played away. The evidence is consistent with decisions being driven by fan and media pressure rather than in realistic hope of improving the position of the club.
Keywords:OR in sports  Managerial succession  Coach dismissals  Scapegoat hypothesis
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