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The two-filter formula for smoothing and an implementation of the Gaussian-sum smoother
Authors:Genshiro Kitagawa
Institution:(1) The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 4-6-7 Minami-Azabu, Minato-ku, 106 Tokyo, Japan
Abstract:A Gaussian-sum smoother is developed based on the two filter formula for smoothing. This facilitates the application of non-Gaussian state space modeling to diverse problems in time series analysis. It is especially useful when a higher order state vector is required and the application of the non-Gaussian smoother based on direct numerical computation is impractical. In particular, applications to the non-Gaussian seasonal adjustment of economic time series and to the modeling of seasonal time series with several outliers are shown.
Keywords:Non-Gaussian smoother  non-Gaussian filter  Gaussian mixture  nonstationary time series  outliers  seasonal adjustment
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