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Asymptotic behaviour of the finite‐time ruin probability in renewal risk models
Authors:Remigijus Leipus  Jonas ?iaulys
Institution:1. Department of Mathematics and Informatics, Vilnius University, Naugarduko 24, Vilnius LT‐03225, Lithuania;2. Institute of Mathematics and Informatics, Akademijos 4, Vilnius LT‐08663, Lithuania
Abstract:In this paper we study the tail behaviour of the probability of ruin within finite time t, as initial risk reserve x tends to infinity, for the renewal risk model with strongly subexponential claim sizes. The asymptotic formula holds uniformly for tf(x), ∞), where f(x) is an infinitely increasing function, and substantially extends the result of Tang (Stoch. Models 2004; 20 :281–297) obtained for the class of claim distributions with consistently varying tails. Two examples illustrate the result. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Keywords:insurance risk  ruin probability  renewal risk model  strongly subexponential distribution
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