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Bayesian dynamic financial networks with time-varying predictors
Affiliation:1. Regional Institute of Oncology, Iasi, Romania;2. Faculty of Physics, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Iasi, Romania;3. Department of Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Medical Bioengineering, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi, Romania
Abstract:We propose a targeted and robust modeling of dependence in multivariate time series via dynamic networks, with time-varying predictors included to improve interpretation and prediction. The model is applied to financial markets, estimating effects of verbal and material cooperations.
Keywords:Co-movement  Edge covariates  Financial network  Gaussian process  Latent space
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