A linear regression model with persistent level shifts: An alternative to infill asymptotics |
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Affiliation: | 1. State Key Laboratory of Advanced Design and Manufacturing for Vehicle Body, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, PR China;2. Key Laboratory of Advanced Design and Simulation Technology for Special Equipments, Ministry of Education, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, PR China;3. Integrated Modelling and Simulation Lab, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology-Madras, Chennai 600036, India;4. Visiting Professor, Institute of Research and Development, Duy Tan University, K7/25 Quang Trung, Danang, Vietnam;5. University of Luxembourg, Department of Computational Engineering Sciences, Faculty of Science, Engineering and Communication, Luxembourg |
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Abstract: | A changepoint in a time series is a time of change in the marginal distribution, autocovariance, or any other distributional structure of the series. Examples include mean level shifts and volatility (variance) changes. Climate data, for example, is replete with mean shift changepoints, occurring whenever a recording instrument is changed or the observing station is moved. Here, we consider the problem of incorporating known changepoint times into a regression model framework. Specifically, we establish consistency and asymptotic normality of ordinary least squares regression estimators that account for an arbitrary number of mean shifts in the record. In a sense, this provides an alternative to the customary infill asymptotics for regression models that assume an asymptotic infinity of data observations between all changepoint times. |
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Keywords: | Asymptotic normality Breakpoints Changepoints Infill asymptotics Linear model |
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