Multi-phase epidemic model by a Markov chain |
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Authors: | Stefania Maria Buccellato Elisabetta Tornatore |
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Affiliation: | Dipartimento di Matematica ed Applicazioni, Università di Palermo, via Archirafi, 34, 90123 Palermo, Italy |
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Abstract: | In this paper we propose a continuous-time Markov chain to describe the spread of an infective and non-mortal disease into a community numerically limited and subjected to an external infection. We make a numerical simulation that shows tendencies for recurring epidemic outbreaks and for fade-out or extinction of the infection. |
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Keywords: | Epidemic models Markov chain Numerical simulation |
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