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Ruin problems for a discrete time risk model with random interest rate
Authors:Hailiang Yang  Lihong Zhang
Institution:(1) Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong, People’s Republic of China;(2) School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Abstract:In this paper, we study a discrete time risk model with random interest rate. The convergence of the discounted surplus process is proved by using martingale techniques, an expression of ruin probability is obtained, and bounds for ruin probability are included. In the second part of the paper, the distribution of surplus immediately after ruin, the distribution of surplus just before ruin, the joint distribution of the surplus immediately before and after ruin, and the distribution of ruin time are discussed.
Keywords:Martingale  Interest income  Convergence of the discounted surplus process  New better than used distribution  New worse than used distribution  Recursive formula
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