| 上市公司退市风险预警模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李明祥,李志祥,张金华. 上市公司退市风险预警模型研究[J]. 数学的实践与认识, 2008, 38(13) |
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| 作者姓名： | 李明祥 李志祥 张金华 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京理工大学,管理与经济学院,北京,100081 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用统计方法,选取有效建模变量,建立了L og istic预测模型对我国上市公司退市风险进行了预测,研究结果表明该模型具有良好的预测精度,该模型预测精度可达98.10%,可以作为证券投资者和分析人员使用的一种有效预测上市公司退市风险的工具.
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| 关 键 词： | 上市公司 退市风险 Logistic模型 |
A Study for Prediction of Quit Market Crisis for listed Companies |
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| LI Ming-xiang,LI Zhi-xiang,ZHANG Jin-hua. A Study for Prediction of Quit Market Crisis for listed Companies[J]. Mathematics in Practice and Theory, 2008, 38(13) |
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| Authors: | LI Ming-xiang LI Zhi-xiang ZHANG Jin-hua |
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| Abstract: | This paper has the Chinese listed company as its research object and creates a prediction analysis of quit crisis for listed companies by Logistic model.It has been proved that the model is better than others.The empirical tests show that it can produce higher prediction accuracy than individual classifiers.The result shows that its accuracy is 98.10%. |
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| Keywords: | listed companies quit crisis logistic model |
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