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ISSUE INFORMATION
Authors:Steven J Lade  Susa Niiranen
Institution:1. Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden;2. Fenner School of Environment and Society, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia
Abstract:Modeling social‐ecological systems is difficult due to the complexity of ecosystems and of individual and collective human behavior. Key components of the social‐ecological system are often over‐simplified or omitted. Generalized modeling is a dynamical systems approach that can overcome some of these challenges. It can rigorously analyze qualitative system dynamics such as regime shifts despite incomplete knowledge of the model's constituent processes. Here, we review generalized modeling and use a recent study on the Baltic Sea cod fishery's boom and collapse to demonstrate its application to modeling the dynamics of empirical social‐ecological systems. These empirical applications demand new methods of analysis suited to larger, more complicated generalized models. Generalized modeling is a promising tool for rapidly developing mathematically rigorous, process‐based understanding of a social‐ecological system's dynamics despite limited knowledge of the system.
Keywords:dynamical systems  eigenvalues  generalized modeling  social‐ecological systems
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