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成都市温江区经济发展趋势分析与预测
引用本文:张秀敏,李冰洲,姚建明.成都市温江区经济发展趋势分析与预测[J].河北科技大学学报,2006,27(3):254-260.
作者姓名:张秀敏  李冰洲  姚建明
作者单位:西南交通大学经济管理学院,四川成都,610031
摘    要:依据客观历史统计数据,对成都市温江区经济发展过程中的各主要经济指标及其相关的重要因素进行研究,建立了这些主要经济指标与相关重要因素之间的线性或非线性的关联,得到了相应的预测结果:在未来数年内,温江区GDP仍将快速攀升,固定资产投资规模迅速扩大,工业经济效益明显增加,农业总产值与农民人均纯收入增幅显著,财政总收入与第三产业产值稳步提升。指出温江区应继续妥善贯彻“强二、优一、兴三”的产业政策,推动全区经济快速、有序发展和社会的全面进步。

关 键 词:成都市温江区  经济发展  主要指标  预测
文章编号:1008-1542(2006)03-0254-07
收稿时间:2005/9/10 0:00:00
修稿时间:2005年9月10日

General trend analysis and forecast of economy development in Wenjiang district of Chengdu city
ZHANG Xiu-min,LI Bing-zhou and YAO Jian-ming.General trend analysis and forecast of economy development in Wenjiang district of Chengdu city[J].Journal of Hebei University of Science and Technology,2006,27(3):254-260.
Authors:ZHANG Xiu-min  LI Bing-zhou and YAO Jian-ming
Institution:School of Economic and Management, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu Sichuan 610031, China;School of Economic and Management, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu Sichuan 610031, China;School of Economic and Management, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu Sichuan 610031, China
Abstract:Based on objective history statistics data,various principal economy indexes and some correlative major factors are studied during the economy development of Wenjiang district of Chengdu city.When linearity or nonlinear relationship between these indexes and factors are constructed,corresponding forecast results will be got.In the coming years,GDP of Wenjiang district will still increase,and investment scale of capital asserts will be extended rapidly,and industry economy benefit will be enhanced evidently.Moreover,agriculture gross production value and peasant net income per person will be improved notably,and finance gross income and the third industry will be raised steadily.It should be continuously carried out that industry reform be strengthened,agriculture be optimized and service industry be encouraged.Thus economy of the whole district will get rapid and proper promotion,and the social development will also be accelerated.
Keywords:Wenjiang district of Chengdu city  economy development  principal indexes  forecast
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