| 基于树型结构的采购组合拍卖获胜概率计算方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄河,但斌,徐鸿雁. 基于树型结构的采购组合拍卖获胜概率计算方法研究[J]. 数学的实践与认识, 2008, 38(1): 16-21 |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄河 但斌 徐鸿雁 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 重庆大学,经济与工商管理学院,重庆,400030
2. 清华大学,经济管理学院,北京,100084 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金 , 教育部跨世纪优秀人才培养计划 |
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| 摘 要： | 在基于树型结构的采购组合拍卖模型的研究基础上,建立了这一类采购组合拍卖的投标获胜概率的数学模型,给出了投标获胜概率的求解方法.通过算例,详细分析了具体计算方法的规律性和可行性.投标获胜概率的计算方法本身具有重要意义,同时能够为投标者提供决策依据和行为参考;也为进一步研究采购组合拍卖的投标期望收益、均衡策略和机制设计奠定了必要的理论基础.
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| 关 键 词： | 采购组合拍卖 投标获胜概率 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-05-08 |
Study on the Winning Probability in Procurement Combinational Auction with Tree Structure |
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| HUANG He,DAN Bin,XU Hong-yan. Study on the Winning Probability in Procurement Combinational Auction with Tree Structure[J]. Mathematics in Practice and Theory, 2008, 38(1): 16-21 |
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| Authors: | HUANG He DAN Bin XU Hong-yan |
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| Abstract: | The processes to determine winning probability for the corresponding bidder′s deterministic bid are presented.The analysis of the winning probability is crucial for studying the bidding equilibria and designing the mechanism of procurement combinational auctions(CAs),and it also provides the decision making support for bidders who are in commercial synergies surrounding.Finally,an example is used to illustrate the feasibility and detailed processes of calculating winning probability. |
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| Keywords: | procurement combinational auctions bidding winning probability |
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