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电器无失效数据的Bayes可靠性分析
引用本文:曲贺梅,高风昕,党平安.电器无失效数据的Bayes可靠性分析[J].数学的实践与认识,2008,38(13).
作者姓名:曲贺梅  高风昕  党平安
作者单位:黄淮学院,教学科学系,河南,驻马店,463000
基金项目:浙江省教育厅资助项目 
摘    要:通过利用分布函数的凸凹性合理的构造了无失效数据(ti,ni)在ti时刻失效的概率pi=p{Tti}的一类先验分布,利用贝叶斯定理给出了无失效数据概率的一种估计.并根据算例验证该估计是合理的.

关 键 词:无失效数据  Bayes估计  失效概率

Bayes Reliability Analysis of Electrical Appliances' Zero-failure Data
QU He-mei,GAO Feng-xin,DANG Ping-an.Bayes Reliability Analysis of Electrical Appliances'' Zero-failure Data[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2008,38(13).
Authors:QU He-mei  GAO Feng-xin  DANG Ping-an
Abstract:Through the use of the convex and concave character of the distribution function,properly constructed a priori probability distribution of the probability pi=p{Tti} of the zero-failure data(ti,ni) failing at the time ti.Bayes theorem was adopted to give an estimation of the probability of zero-failure data.Also,mathematical examples have been introduced to prove this estimation is reasonable.
Keywords:zero-failure data  bayes estimation  failure probability
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