Predicting future duration from present age: A critical assessment |
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| Authors: | Carlton M. Caves |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Max-Planck Research Group, IOIP , Günther Scharowsky-Str. 1/Bau 24, 91058, Erlangen, Germany csilberhorn@optik.uni-erlangen.de |
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| Abstract: | Using a temporal version of the Copernican principle, Gott has proposed a statistical predictor of future longevity based on present age (Gott III, J. R., 1993, Nature, 363, 315) and applied the predictor to a variety of examples, including the longevity of the human species. Although Gott's proposal contains a grain of truth, it does not have the universal predictive power that he attributes to it. |
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| Keywords: | terahertz single photon detector near-field imaging time-domain spectroscopy carbon nanotube graphene |
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