| 基于集成预测模型的贵州省农作物受灾面积预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴欢,谢德悠.基于集成预测模型的贵州省农作物受灾面积预测[J].贵州大学学报(自然科学版),2014,31(4):128-131. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴欢 谢德悠 |
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| 作者单位： | 贵州大学理学院,贵州贵阳,550025 |
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| 基金项目： | 贵州省科学技术基金项目资助(黔科合J字[2009] 2063];贵州大学2013年教育教学改革研究与实践项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文根据1998-2011年贵州省农作物受灾面积统计数据,利用集成预测模型,得到贵州省农作物受灾面积的预测模型,通过将农作物受灾面积的拟合值与真实值作比较,证实模型的拟合效果较好,进一步对贵州省2012年农作物受灾情况进行预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 集成预测模型 马尔科夫链 转移矩阵 |
Prediction of Affected Area of Crops in Guizhou Province Based on Integrated Prediction Model |
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| WU Huan,XIE De-you.Prediction of Affected Area of Crops in Guizhou Province Based on Integrated Prediction Model[J].Journal of Guizhou University(Natural Science),2014,31(4):128-131. |
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| Authors: | WU Huan XIE De-you |
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| Institution: | ( College of Science, Guizhou University, Guiyang 550025, China) |
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| Abstract: | According to the data of affected areas collected in Guizhou Province from 1998 to 2011,and ased on integrated prediction model,the prediction model of affected area of croups in Guizhou Province was obtained.The results show that the proposed model is effective. |
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| Keywords: | integrated prediction model Markov chain transfer matrix |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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