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Stochastic dominance and mean–variance measures of profit and loss for business planning and investment
Authors:Wing-Keung Wong
Institution:Risk Management Institute and Department of Economics, 1 Arts Link, Singapore 117570, Singapore
Abstract:In this paper, we first extend the stochastic dominance (SD) theory by introducing the first three orders of both ascending SD (ASD) and descending SD (DSD) to decisions in business planning and investment to risk-averse and risk-loving decision makers so that they can compare both return and loss. We provide investors with more tools for empirical analysis, with which they can identify the first-order ASD and DSD prospects and discern arbitrage opportunities that could increase his/her utility as well as wealth and set up a zero dollar portfolio to make huge profit. Our tools also enable investors and business planners to identify the third order ASD and DSD prospects and make better choices.
Keywords:Applied probability  Decision analysis  Risk analysis  Risk management  Uncertainty modelling
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