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Analysis of seat allocation and overbooking decisions with hybrid information
Authors:Yingjie Lan  Michael O. Ball  Itir Z. Karaesmen  Jean X. Zhang  Gloria X. Liu
Affiliation:1. Guanghua School of Management, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China;2. Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, USA;3. Kogod School of Business, American University, Washington, DC 20016, USA;4. School of Business, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia 23284, USA;5. The Boler School of Business, John Carroll University, University Heights, Ohio 44118, USA
Abstract:We investigate a single-leg airline revenue management problem where an airline has limited demand information and uncensored no-show information. To use such hybrid information for simultaneous overbooking and booking control decisions, we combine expected overbooking cost with revenue. Then we take a robust optimization approach with a regret-based criterion. While the criterion is defined on a myriad of possible demand scenarios, we show that only a small number of them are necessary to compute the objective. We also prove that nested booking control policies are optimal among all deterministic ones. We further develop an effective computational method to find the optimal policy and compare our policy to others proposed in the literature.
Keywords:Revenue management   Competitive analysis   Regret   Cross entropy method
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