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The asymptotic equivalence of Bayes and maximum likelihood estimation
Authors:Helmut Strasser
Institution:Institute for Socio-Economic Development, Academy of Sciences, 1010 Vienna, Austria
Abstract:Let (X, A) be a measurable space, Θ ? R an open interval and PΩA, Ω ? Θ, a family of probability measures fulfilling certain regularity conditions. Let Ωn be the maximum likelihood estimate for the sample size n. Let λ be a prior distribution on Θ and let Rn,x be the posterior distribution for the sample size n given x ? Xn. L: Θ × Θ → R denotes a loss function fulfilling certain regularity conditions and Tn denotes the Bayes estimate relative to λ and L for the sample size n. It is proved that for every compact K ? Θ there exists cK ≥ 0 such that
suptheta;∈KPtheta;nh{x∈Xn∥ Tn(x) ? ?nx|? cK(log n)n?} = o(n?12).
This theorem improves results of Bickel and Yahav 3], and Ibragimov and Has'minskii 4], as far as the speed of convergence is concerned.
Keywords:62H99  Maximum likelihood estimation  Bayes estimation  limit theorems  speed of convergence
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