Rapid and accurate prediction of binding free energies for saquinavir-bound HIV-1 proteases

To explain drug resistance by computer simulations at the molecular level, we first have to assess the accuracy of theoretical predictions. Herein we report an application of the molecular mechanics Poisson-Boltzmann surface area (MM/PBSA) technique to the ranking of binding affinities of the inhibitor saquinavir with the wild type (WT) and three resistant mutants of HIV-1 protease: L90M, G48V, and G48V/L90M. For each ligand-protein complex we report 10 ns of fully unrestrained molecular dynamics (MD) simulations with explicit solvent. We investigate convergence, internal consistency, and model dependency of MM/PBSA ligand binding energies. Converged enthalpy and entropy estimates produce ligand binding affinities within 1.5 kcal/mol of experimental values, with a remarkable level of correlation to the experimentally observed ranking of resistance levels. A detailed analysis of the enthalpic/entropic balance of drug-protease interactions explains resistance in L90M in terms of a higher vibrational entropy than in the WT complex, while G48V disrupts critical hydrogen bonds at the inhibitor's binding site and produces an altered, more unfavorable balance of Coulomb and polar desolvation energies.