| 一种江海运输需求预测模型及其验证 |
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| 引用本文： | 李湛.一种江海运输需求预测模型及其验证[J].上海交通大学学报,1989,23(6):50-58. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李湛 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海交通大学船舶及海洋工程系，上海交通大学船舶及海洋工程系，上海交通大学船舶及海洋工程系 社会科学及工程系博士、讲师 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对江海货物运输的特点,提出了一种江海运输需求预测模型,通过举例验证,说明该模型具有一定的合理性和实用性.对长江地区的外贸江海直达运输所进行的预测,其结果可作为制订发展长江外贸江海直达运输政策的重要参考依据.
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| 关 键 词： | 船舶运输 江海运输 外贸运输 预测 模糊数学 投入产出 |
A Model for Predicting River-sea Transport Demands and Its Test |
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| Li Zhan Yang Yu Qin Shiyuan.A Model for Predicting River-sea Transport Demands and Its Test[J].Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University,1989,23(6):50-58. |
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| Authors: | Li Zhan Yang Yu Qin Shiyuan |
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| Institution: | Li Zhan Yang Yu Qin Shiyuan |
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| Abstract: | A model for predicting river-sea transport demands is developed in
this paper according to the features of river-sea cargo transportation and it is
tested through a case study.The prediction of river-sea transportation for
oversea trade in the Yangtze Valley is performed.It is shown that the model
is feasible and useful.The results of prediction may be used as important re-
ferences for making policies for the development of river-sea transportation
for oversea trade in the Yangtze valley. |
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| Keywords: | ship transportation river-sea transportation oversea trade transportation prediction fuzzy mathimatics In-output analysis |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
