| 失效概率的E-Bayes估计及其性质 |
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| 引用本文： | 韩明. 失效概率的E-Bayes估计及其性质[J]. 数学物理学报(A辑), 2007, 27(3): 488-495 |
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| 作者姓名： | 韩明 |
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| 作者单位： | 福建工程学院数理系 福州 |
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| 基金项目： | 福建省自然科学基金;福建工程学院校科研和教改项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 该文提出了参数的一种新估计方法----- E-Bayes估计法. 在无失效数据情形, 给出了失效概率的E-Bayes估计的定义,在此基础上给出了失效概率的E-Bayes估计, 并给出了失效概率的E-Bayes估计的性质----- E-Bayes估计和多层Bayes估计的关系.最后, 给出了模拟算例, 结果表明该文提出的E-Bayes估计法可行且便于应用.
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| 关 键 词： | 可靠性 无失效数据 失效概率 E-Bayes估计 多层Bayes估计 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-3998（2007）03-488-08 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-09-01 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-09-012006-08-05 |
Expected Bayesian Estimation of Failure Probability and Its Character |
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| Han Ming. Expected Bayesian Estimation of Failure Probability and Its Character[J]. Acta Mathematica Scientia, 2007, 27(3): 488-495 |
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| Authors: | Han Ming |
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| Affiliation: | Department of Mathematics & Physics, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350014 |
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| Abstract: | This paper develops a new method of parameter estimation, which is named as E-Bayesian estimation method. In the case of zero-failure data, the defined of E-Bayesian estimation of the failure probability is provided, and more the formulas of E-Bayesian estimation of the failure probability is provided also on the base. Then discusses the character of E- Bayesian estimation--the relations between E-Bayesian estimation and hierarchical Bayesian estimation. Finally, calculations are performed according to simulation example, which show that the method provided in the paper is practicable and easy to operate. |
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| Keywords: | Reliability Zero-failure data Failure probability E-Bayesian estimation Hierarchical Bayesian estimation. |
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