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One-step prediction forP n-weakly stationary processes
Authors:Volker Hösel  Rupert Lasser
Affiliation:(1) GSF Research Center for Environment and Health, Ingolstädter Landstraße 1, D-W8042 Neuherberg, Federal Republic of Germany
Abstract:The one-step prediction problem is studied in the context ofPn-weakly stationary stochastic processes
$$left( {X_n } right)_{n in mathbb{N}_0 } $$
, where
$$left( {P_n left( x right)} right)_{n in mathbb{N}_0 } $$
is an orthogonal polynomial sequence defining a polynomial hypergroup on
$$mathbb{N}_0 $$
. This kind of stochastic processes appears when estimating the mean of classical weakly stationary processes. In particular, it is investigated whether these processes are asymptoticPn-deterministic, i.e. the prediction mean-squared error tends to zero. Sufficient conditions on the covariance function or the spectral measure are given for
$$left( {X_n } right)_{n in mathbb{N}_0 } $$
being asymptoticPn-deterministic. For Jacobi polynomialsPn(x) the problem of
$$left( {X_n } right)_{n in mathbb{N}_0 } $$
being asymptoticPn-deterministic is completely solved.
Keywords:
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