| 先验及后验概率下最优决策的选择 |
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| 引用本文： | 冯翠莲.先验及后验概率下最优决策的选择[J].数理统计与管理,2006,25(1):8-13. |
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| 作者姓名： | 冯翠莲 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京市经济管理干部学院,北京,100102 |
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| 摘 要： | 如何以最低代价获得最优决策方案是现代企业管理所面临的基本问题之一。在进行风险型决策过程中,若能结合抽样理论,就可以以最低的代价找到先验概率下及修正后的后验概率下选择最优决策方案。
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| 关 键 词： | 最优决策 先验概率 后验概率 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-1566（2006）01-0008-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-01-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-01-06 |
How to Select the Best Decision in Prior Probability and Posteriori Probability |
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| FENG Cui-lian.How to Select the Best Decision in Prior Probability and Posteriori Probability[J].Application of Statistics and Management,2006,25(1):8-13. |
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| Authors: | FENG Cui-lian |
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| Institution: | Beijing institute of Economic Management, Beijing, 100102 |
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| Abstract: | One of the basic problem what are modem enterprises facing, is how to obtain the best decision by lowest price. In the process of decision with risks, if we using sampling theory, the best decision in prior probability and modified posteriori probability can be obtained. |
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| Keywords: | The best decision Prior probability Posteriori probability |
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