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An efficient estimator for the expectation of a bounded function under the residual distribution of an autoregressive process
Authors:W Wefelmeyer
Institution:(1) Mathematical Institute, University of Cologne, Weyertal 86, 50931 Cologne, Germany
Abstract:Consider a stationary first-order autoregressive process, with i.i.d. residuals following an unknown mean zero distribution. The customary estimator for the expectation of a bounded function under the residual distribution is the empirical estimator based on the estimated residuals. We show that this estimator is not efficient, and construct a simple efficient estimator. It is adaptive with respect to the autoregression parameter.
Keywords:Autoregressive model  efficient estimator  empirical estimator  residual distribution
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