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On the Evaluation of Uncertain Courses of Action
Authors:Ronald R. Yager
Affiliation:(1) Machine Intelligence Institute, Iona College, New Rochelle, NY, 10801
Abstract:We consider the problem of decision making under uncertainty. The fuzzy measure is introduced as a general way of representing available information about the uncertainty. It is noted that generally in uncertain environments the problem of comparing alternative courses of action is difficult because of the multiplicity of possible outcomes for any action. One approach is to convert this multiplicity of possible of outcomes associated with an alternative into a single value using a valuation function. We describe various ways of providing a valuation function when the uncertainty is represented using a fuzzy measure. We then specialize these valuation functions to the cases of probabilistic and possibilistic uncertainty.
Keywords:uncertainty  possibility theory  decision making  aggregation
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