Pattern of breakdown of laminar flow into turbulent spots

The breakdown into turbulent spots is the least understood stage of the laminar-turbulent transition process. With cellular-automaton stochastic simulations and stability analysis, we show that the pattern of breakdown in boundary-layer flow bears a connection to laminar instability and may be reconstructed using macroscopic properties of the transition zone, such as persistence times and transitional intermittency. We propose experimental tests of our ideas.