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Propensities and conditional probabilities
Authors:Isabelle Drouet
Institution:Institut Supérieur de Philosophie, Université Catholique de Louvain, Place du cardinal Mercier 14, 1348 Louvain la Neuve, Belgium
Abstract:The present paper deals with the objection that Paul Humphreys raised against the propensity interpretation of probability - “Humphreys’ paradox”. An update on existing solutions is offered, and it is concluded that none of them is completely satisfactory in view of Humphreys’ 2004 rejoinder. Positively, an original solution is formulated and discussed.
Keywords:Conditionalization  Propensity  Humphreys&rsquo  paradox
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