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Extinction probability for a critical general branching process
Authors:John M Holte
Institution:Department of Mathematics, The University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisc. 53704, U.S.A.
Abstract:A general branching process begins with a single individual born at time t=0. At random ages during its random lifespan L it gives birth to offspring, N(t) being the number born in the age interval 0,t]. Each offspring behaves as a probabilistically independent copy of the initial individual. Let Z(t) be the population at time t, and let N=N(∞). Theorem: If a general branching process is critical, i. e E{N}=1, and if σ2=E {N(N?1)}<∞, 0<a≡0 tdE{N(t)},and as t → ∞ both t2(1?E {N(t)})→0 and t2PL>t]→0, then tPZ(t)>0]→2aσ2 as t→∞.
Keywords:60J80  60f99
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