An agent-based approach to modeling insider threat

This paper describes the modeling of the potential of an organization to develop an insider threat given certain attributes of its culture. The model represents all employees of the organization and their likelihood of becoming an insider threat. Each employee is instantiated in an agent-zero construct, which accounts for affective, rational, and social behavioral influences. The main driver of behavior is the employee’s level of disgruntlement against the organization. The simulation is run over a period of 10 years and the total number of employees that exceed a certain threshold of becoming an insider threat are computed. This number is compared with survey data on work force ethics as a measure of validity of the simulation results.