Stationary distributions of semistochastic processes with disturbances at random times and with random severity |
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Authors: | Maria Conceiç ã o A. LeiteNikola P. Petrov,Ensheng Weng |
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Affiliation: | a Department of Mathematics, University of Oklahoma, 601 Elm Avenue, Norman, OK 73019, USAb Department of Botany and Microbiology, University of Oklahoma, 770 Van Vleet Oval, Norman, OK 73019, USA |
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Abstract: | We consider a semistochastic continuous-time continuous-state space random process that undergoes downward disturbances with random severity occurring at random times. Between two consecutive disturbances, the evolution is deterministic, given by an autonomous ordinary differential equation. The times of occurrence of the disturbances are distributed according to a general renewal process. At each disturbance, the process gets multiplied by a continuous random variable (“severity”) supported on [0,1). The inter-disturbance time intervals and the severities are assumed to be independent random variables that also do not depend on the history.We derive an explicit expression for the conditional density connecting two consecutive post-disturbance levels, and an integral equation for the stationary distribution of the post-disturbance levels. We obtain an explicit expression for the stationary distribution of the random process. Several concrete examples are considered to illustrate the methods for solving the integral equations that occur. |
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Keywords: | Semistochastic process Disturbances with random severity Renewal process Catastrophe Disaster |
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